Thursday, June 11, 2026

Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 6.11.26 — Burnin’ today: Donalds, Graham, Jolly, Collins, Renner & facial recognition

Sunburn: Where Florida politics gets properly burned ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

From: Extensive Media Enterprises

Good Thursday morning.

A new poll from the Associated Industries of Florida shows Byron Donalds holding a commanding position in the Republican Primary for Governor, capturing 54% support in a four-way field — 46 points ahead of his nearest competitor.

The survey found James Fishback at 8%, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 5%, and former House Speaker Paul Renner at 2%. Thirty-one percent remain undecided.

Byron Donalds sits comfortably atop the GOP field, with plenty of room for suspense elsewhere.

"Byron Donalds is dominating the Republican Primary race for Florida Governor," said Jeremy Sheftel, AIF Vice President of Political Operations. "With a commanding $81 million war chest, an extensive campaign and field apparatus, and a complete and total endorsement from President Donald J. Trump, Donalds is in an extremely advantageous position to be Florida's Republican nominee for Governor with early voting beginning in two short months."

Donalds' support is broad. He hit 71% in Fort Myers, 69% in West Palm Beach, 54% in Orlando, 53% in the Panhandle, and 51% in Tampa. He draws 55% of white Republicans and 54% of Hispanic Republicans. Among seniors — the highest-propensity Primary voters — he clocks 60%.

The AIF results are consistent with a broader polling picture in which Donalds is consolidating the field. An Emerson College survey from April showed him at 46% in the Primary, with Collins and Fishback each at 4%. An Echelon Insights poll the same month had him leading David Jolly 49% to 43% in a General Election matchup.

The AIF findings will be presented in full at the organization's Summer Political and Policy Retreat in Sarasota.

___

New Donalds ad targets 'radical' Democrats' lust for 'Power' — The Friends of Byron Donalds PAC is out with a new spot, "Power," casting the left as more interested in control than solutions and touting Donalds' plans to defend the Florida Dream. "These radical Democrats don't want to solve problems. They just want power — power to spend your money, control your healthcare, and raise your kids … in my Florida, that's not happening," Donalds says in the ad, which is running on streaming platforms statewide.

Watch the video here:

Byron Donalds warns Democrats want power since subtlety apparently missed the production meeting.

  Situational awareness  

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet, tweet:

@steveschale: This is America, and anyone can run, but primarying @AllisonTantFL is just dumb. Not only are her Dem bona fides as good as any Dem, she is one of the most effective lawmakers in either party.

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet, tweet:

  Days until  

Flag Day — 2; the Octagon on the White House South Lawn: UFC Freedom 250 — 2; President Donald Trump's 80th birthday — 2; 'Toy Story 5' premieres — 7; House of the Dragon season 3 premiere — 9; The final season of ‘The Bear’ premieres — 13; 'Supergirl' premieres — 14; Florida GOP Sunshine State Showdown debates — 14; live-action 'Moana' premieres — 19; Primary Election UOCAVA ballot deadline — 22; Primary Election domestic ballot deadline — 27; 2026 Florida Python Challenge — 28; MLB All-Star Game — 32; Domestic Primary Election VBM deadline — 34; Primary Election voter registration deadline — 38; 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' premieres — 49; 'Ted Lasso' season 4 premieres — 54; Primary Election ballot request deadline — 55; Early voting period begins — 57; ‘Lanterns’ premieres on HBO — 65; Primary Election Day — 67; NFL regular season kicks off — 89; San Francisco 49ers face the Los Angeles Rams in first-ever NFL regular season game in Melbourne, Australia — 90; Yankees host the Mets for 9/11 anniversary — 91; MLB Roberto Clemente Day — 95; General Election UOCAVA ballot deadline — 99; Tampa Bay Buccaneers opener against Cleveland Browns — 100; General Election domestic ballot deadline — 104; Domestic General Election VBM deadline — 111; General Election voter registration deadline — 115; ‘The Social Network’ sequel with Jeremy Strong, Jeremy Allen White and Mikey Madison premieres — 119; Early Voting General Election begins — 134; General Election — 144; 'Godzilla Minus Zero' premieres — 147; 2026 Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 152; 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' premieres — 161; Brad Pitt returns as Cliff Booth, his Academy-award winning role, in a film directed by David Fincher, written by Quentin Tarantino — 166; 'Avengers: Doomsday' premieres — 189; 'Dune: Part 3' premieres — 189; untitled Star Wars movie premieres — 189; College Football Playoff national title game in Las Vegas — 227; 69th annual Grammy Awards — 240; Super Bowl LXI — 247; Tampa Mayoral Election — 263; 2027 Oscars — 275; Jacksonville First Election — 284; Jacksonville General Election — 340; 'Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse' premieres — 358; 'Bluey the Movie' premieres — 420; 'Miami Vice' reboot premieres — 420; 'The Batman 2' premieres — 476; 'Avengers: Secret Wars' premieres — 553; College Football Playoff national title game in New Orleans — 591; 2028 Oscars — 632; 'Lilo & Stitch 2' premieres — 714; 'Incredibles 3' premieres — 735; Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 763; U.S. Presidential Election — 879; College Football Playoff national title game in Tampa — 955; Avatar 4 premieres — 1,279; College Football Playoff national title games in Miami — 1,319; Avatar 5 premieres — 2,010.

  Top story  

David Jolly adds Gwen Graham to Democratic ticket” via Jim Turner of News Service of Florida — Jolly made his Democratic gubernatorial ticket official, announcing Graham as his running mate outside the Old Capitol days after Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings ended his campaign. Jolly said he wanted a partner capable of helping oversee state government, calling the election “a moment where we need new leadership in the state of Florida.”

The move pairs two former members of Congress who served together from 2015 to 2017, when Jolly was still a Republican representing part of the Tampa Bay area. He later left the GOP and became a Democrat, largely in response to Trump’s rise.

David Jolly and Gwen Graham launch a Democratic ticket outside the Old Capitol.

Graham, the daughter of the late former Gov. Bob Graham, said the race will test whether Florida wants leaders who listen to all Floridians or “a Governor who just plays to the political extremes.”

Republicans quickly attacked the ticket. The Republican Party of Florida called Jolly a “political chameleon” and Graham a “liberal nepotism baby.” At the same time, Byron Donalds’ campaign said the pairing “might have been an interesting ticket 10 years ago.”

Jolly said he is not convinced Donalds will be the Republican nominee. The GOP field also includes Renner, Fishback and Lt. Gov. Collins, who still must qualify.

Florida Democrats face a steep climb. The party has not won the Governor’s Mansion since Lawton Chiles’ 1994 re-election, and Nikki Fried remains the last Democrat to win statewide, in 2018.

  2026  

Single donor delivers massive boost to Jay Collins campaign” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Lt. Gov. Collins received a significant late-stage fundraising boost thanks largely to a single $5 million contribution from Propel Florida LLC, a company tied to Publix heiress Julie Jenkins Francelli. The donation accounted for nearly all the $5.124 million raised by Collins’ Quiet Professionals political committee during April and May. The influx leaves Collins with more than $5.8 million in his PAC and roughly $150,000 in his campaign account as he seeks to gain traction in the Republican race for Governor. The contribution comes as Collins has increasingly focused on concerns about artificial intelligence and data centers. Despite the windfall, Collins remains well behind front-runner Donalds, who has raised roughly $81 million this election cycle.

Jay Collins gets a $5 million lift from one donor, keeping grassroots accountants busy.

Paul Renner insists grassroots voters are breaking his way” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Former House Speaker Renner may trail badly in public polling and fundraising, but he says the voters who matter most in the Republican Primary are firmly in his corner. During an interview with Liberty Sentinel, Renner argued that engaged conservative activists and grassroots Republicans see him as the true heir to Gov. Ron DeSantis’ “Free State of Florida” agenda. “The people that are actually paying attention, we’re winning,” Renner said, pointing to strong performances in straw polls. The comments come despite Renner averaging just 5% in recent polling and trailing Donalds, Collins and Fishback. Renner also dismissed support for Donalds as driven by political insiders and donors, saying conservative voters are looking elsewhere.

Renner burns cash as fundraising slows to a crawl” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Renner’s latest finance reports show a campaign spending heavily while struggling to attract new donor support. The former House Speaker raised just over $106,000 between his campaign account and political committee during April and May, while spending roughly $640,000 over the same period. Much of the spending went toward media placement and support for the Republican Party of Florida. Renner still has nearly $3.2 million available, but that figure is down sharply from the roughly $4.5 million he held at the end of 2025. The numbers leave him trailing both Donalds, who raised more than $81 million, and Collins, whose campaign received a late $5 million boost. Despite polling around 5%, Renner insists he remains competitive with engaged Republican voters.

James Fishback’s outsider campaign largely floated by a couple of donors” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Republican Fishback’s outsider campaign is leaning hard on a couple of generous friends. His Florida First PAC has raised nearly $535,000 through May, with Palm Beach investor Daniel Hassan accounting for $375,000 of it. Christina Lavery Caruso appears to have chipped in another $100,000 through two names tied to the same Tampa business address. The money is moving fast: nearly $280,000 went to consulting, food, gas and lodging in April and May, leaving about $95,000. Fishback’s campaign account has raised $92,300 from 437 donors, but has spent more than it brought in. He is still outraising Renner but remains miles behind Donalds and Collins.

—"Attorney General race sees top 2 candidates qualify for Primary ballot" via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics

Blaise Ingoglia among first candidates to lock in CFO ballot spot” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — The race for Chief Financial Officer is beginning to take shape, with Ingoglia, Frank William Collige and Earle Ford officially qualifying for the ballot ahead of Friday’s deadline. Ingoglia, appointed by DeSantis after Jimmy Patronis won election to Congress, enters his first statewide campaign with more than $1.15 million raised and a substantial financial advantage over the field. Collige, a Jacksonville businessman and Air Force veteran, has also qualified on the Republican side, while Ford shifted from a congressional bid to pursue the CFO post as a Democrat. Former Sen. Annette Taddeo had not yet qualified as of Wednesday but is expected to do so. Additional candidates still have time to enter before qualifying closes.

  More elections  

Florida Supreme Court keeps new congressional map in place” via Gary Fineout of POLITICO — The Florida Supreme Court rejected an emergency bid to block the state’s new congressional map, clearing the way for lines that could help Republicans gain as many as four U.S. House seats in 2026. The court said it lacked jurisdiction at this stage to hear the challenge, though the underlying lawsuit continues. DeSantis said the ruling “assures that the recently enacted map will be in place for the 2026 Election,” while Attorney General James Uthmeier’s office called it a “COMPLETE AND TOTAL VICTORY.” Voting rights groups blasted the decision, arguing the map violates voter-approved anti-gerrymandering standards. Justice Jorge Labarga dissented, citing the fast-approaching filing deadline and election.

Florida’s congressional map survives another court stop because redistricting drama never really clocks out.

Old Capitol prank resurfaces as Darren Soto faces tougher map” via James A. Downs of the Washington Examiner — As Rep. Soto prepares for a difficult re-election fight in a newly redrawn Central Florida District, an old Tallahassee story is getting new attention. The Washington Examiner revisits a 2008 Florida House prank in which Soto, then a first-term lawmaker, responded to a note from a purported admirer in the House gallery, only to discover the woman was a paid actor recruited by colleagues. Then-Speaker Marco Rubio declared Soto out of order and had the Sergeant-at-Arms briefly place him in handcuffs as part of the joke. The episode, reportedly staged in response to Soto’s “notorious libido,” has resurfaced as Republicans view the now-redrawn Congressional District 9 as a prime pickup opportunity in 2026.

VIEW PAC backs Bea Valenti for CD 14 — Congressional candidate Bea Valenti has picked up an endorsement from VIEW PAC, a national organization dedicated to electing conservative women. “Bea Valenti is exactly the kind of conservative leader we need in Congress,” VIEW PAC Executive Director Julie Conway said. “She has spent her career fighting for the principles that matter most to Floridians: economic opportunity, individual freedom, strong national defense, and accountable government. Bea understands that public service is about delivering results, not making headlines, and she has consistently demonstrated the work ethic, integrity, and leadership necessary to get the job done.” Valenti is one of several Republicans running to unseat Democratic U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor in the newly configured CD 14, which is considerably more favorable to Republicans than the District that re-elected the incumbent two years ago.

New poll shows Elijah Manley gaining on Debbie Wasserman Schultz in CD 20” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — A new poll by The Listener Group is showing U.S. Rep. Wasserman Schultz leading a crowded Democratic field in Florida’s 20th Congressional District with 39% support. Still, challenger Manley is emerging as the strongest alternative at 21%. After voters received candidate information, Manley surged to 36% support, ahead of Wasserman Schultz’s 27%. The survey also found former Broward County Mayor Dale Holness at 15%, while former U.S. Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick registered just 3%, within the poll’s margin of error. “When voters learn who I am, they flock to this campaign,” Manley said. Wasserman Schultz pointed to her record of securing federal funding and said, “I’m thankful for the strong, broad support I am receiving all over CD 20.”

—"Democratic Black Caucus President, progressive leaders back Manley in CD 20" via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics

CD 20 race turns personal as Manley levels antisemitism charge” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Tensions in the crowded Democratic Primary for Congressional District 20 escalated sharply after Manley accused rival Holness of making antisemitic remarks during a private meeting of Black candidates discussing whether to consolidate behind a single challenger to Wasserman Schultz. Manley alleged Holness said “the Jews are coming for all the seats,” a claim Holness flatly rejected as “an absolute lie.” Another attendee disputed Manley’s account, saying he never heard such comments. The dispute highlights growing friction in a race already shaped by debate over Wasserman Schultz’s decision to run in a historically Black District after redistricting dismantled her former seat. With multiple candidates still pursuing the nomination, any hopes of consolidation appear increasingly remote.

Attendee disputes Manley’s account of CD 20 candidate meeting via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics

Belinda Keiser bolsters CD 22 bid with Vern Buchanan endorsementKeiser has picked up the backing of U.S. Rep. Buchanan in her Republican bid for the newly redrawn CD 22. "Belinda Keiser is a proven conservative leader with a record of creating jobs, expanding opportunity, and preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow," Buchanan said. "At a time when Washington needs more leaders who understand how the real economy works, Belinda Keiser is the clear choice for CD-22." Keiser, who has called the District home for 36 years, is seeking the seat that takes in all of Hendry County and parts of Collier, Palm Beach, and Broward counties. The Buchanan nod follows endorsements from U.S. Reps. Aaron Bean, Neal Dunn, Randy Fine, and Patronis.

Shevrin Jones touts $100K raised in first day of CD 24 bid Jones’ campaign says it collected more than $100,000 in the first 24 hours after the Democratic state Senator launched his bid for Florida’s 24th Congressional District. “I am humbled by this incredible support that shows our communities are ready for a leader with a track record of taking on the tough fights and getting things done,” Jones said. Alongside the fundraising announcement, the campaign highlighted an endorsement from New Politics, a national organization committed to electing candidates with public service backgrounds. “Shev Jones has been proving himself in service long before he ever thought about running for Congress,” said Emily Cherniack, founder and Executive Director of New Politics. “… New Politics is proud to have backed Shev since 2020, and we are proud to stand with him again now as he takes this next step.”

"Hector Mujica drops CD 28 bid after falling short of party affiliation requirements" via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Democrat Mujica is dropping out of the race for Florida's 28th Congressional District less than three weeks after Florida Politics reported he is ineligible to run as a Democrat due to a brief party switch last year. Mujica's eligibility came under scrutiny after Broward County records showed he had not been a registered Democrat for 365 consecutive days, as required by recently updated state law. His campaign suggested the change was due to a "clerical or administrative error," but the Broward Supervisor of Elections Office rejected that theory, saying it found "no evidence" of any such mistake. Mujica's now-former Primary opponent, retired Air Force Commander Phil Ehr, first flagged the issue and filed a complaint with the Florida Elections Commission.

Debbie Mayfield endorses Robyn Hattaway for HD 31 — Sen. Mayfield is backing Republican Hattaway in the race for House District 31. "Robyn Hattaway is a constitutional conservative who will go to Tallahassee to fight for President Trump's agenda without apology," Mayfield said. "I trust Robyn to work with me to lower insurance premiums for Space Coast families, protect universal school choice, cut taxes, and stand firm in protecting our Second Amendment rights. Robyn Hattaway has my full support, and I urge every Republican in House District 31 to vote for Robyn in the Aug. 18 Primary Election." The solid red HD 31 covers Merritt Island, Cocoa and nearby beach areas, along with Cape Canaveral, Kennedy Space Center, Patrick Space Force Base and Port Canaveral. It is currently held by term-limited Rep. Tyler Sirois.

Robyn Hattaway gets Debbie Mayfield’s backing in House District 31, where endorsements still travel fast.

New voter data fuels GOP hopes of flipping four Florida seats” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Fresh voter registration numbers have Republicans increasingly confident they can expand their congressional footprint in Florida in 2026. Internal National Republican Congressional Committee data shows the GOP has gained nearly 300,000 registered voters across four Democratic-held or Democratic-targeted congressional districts since 2018, while Democrats have lost more than 39,000 voters. The figures cover districts represented by U.S. Reps. Castor, Jared Moskowitz and Soto, along with the open Congressional District 22 seat. Republicans point to the numbers as evidence of Florida’s continued rightward shift, while Democrats face the challenge of defending seats that were redrawn under the state’s new congressional map. Statewide, Republicans now hold a voter registration advantage of more than 1.5 million voters over Democrats.

Driven by affordability issues, Florida Dems see more Gen Z candidates” via John Pacenti of USA Today Network —Florida — Florida Democrats are seeing more Gen Z candidates jump into legislative races, driven by affordability, housing and frustration with Tallahassee’s status quo. Benjamin Sandlin, 22, is running again in Jacksonville’s House District 12 while attending the University of North Florida and working multiple jobs. “Working three jobs and trying to get through school is very prevalent in my generation,” Sandlin said. Jayden D’Onofrio, 21, is running in Broward County’s House District 102, saying voters want “new blood.” Groups such as Blue-Florida.com’s Project 140 and 90-for-90.org count at least 13 Democrats under 30 trying to qualify. Susan MacManus calls the cycle “new faces in high places.”

  Even more elections  

"Rick Scott backs Emily Duda Buckley in HD 38, says she's 'laser-focused' on affordability" via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — U.S. Sen. Scott is throwing considerable weight behind Duda Buckley in her bid for House District 38, noting her commitment to improving affordability for Floridians. Duda Buckley is one of three Republicans running to replace term-limited incumbent David Smith. She and Marcus Hyatt have qualified for the race, while Austyn Cydney Spell has not yet qualified. Democrat Michelle Danielle DeJesus has also filed to run. House District 38 covers southwest Seminole County and includes Altamonte Springs, Casselberry, and Winter Springs. It could be a competitive open race. "At a time when Floridians are rightly concerned about the rising cost of living, Emily Duda Buckley is laser-focused on returning money... to the taxpayer and efficient government," Scott said.

Emily Duda Buckley lands Rick Scott’s support in the open House District 38 race.

"Jarod Fox wins endorsements from Maxwell Frost, LaVon Bracy Davis, RaShon Young in HD 39 race" via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — Democrat Dr. Fox has earned the endorsements of U.S. Rep. Frost, state Sen. Bracy Davis, and state Rep. Young, as he also raised nearly $16,000 in the most recent fundraising cycle in his bid to unseat state Rep. Doug Bankson. Fox, an Orlando Health infectious disease specialist, is running in House District 39. Carlos F. Johary Sr. has also filed to run as a Republican in the race against Bankson, with the deadline to qualify looming this week. Bankson, an Apopka Republican, has been elected since 2022 for the seat representing Orange and Seminole counties, which spans Winter Garden, part of Ocoee, Zellwood and Apopka. "Every day, I talk to Floridians worried about the price of their medical care, housing, and groceries — it's not sustainable, and it's no way to live," Fox said.

Melissa Rutland jumps into pivotal race for open House seat” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Republican Rutland has filed for House District 60, becoming the first candidate to officially qualify for the open seat vacated by Rep. Lindsay Cross. Rutland, a commercial real estate executive and longtime civic leader in St. Petersburg, enters what is expected to be one of the state’s most competitive legislative contests. Her résumé includes service on the St. Petersburg Development Review Commission, the Juvenile Welfare Board of Pinellas County and numerous local nonprofit Boards. “My community is struggling, and we need creative solutions to the difficult problems that face Pinellas families,” Rutland said. The race already includes Democrat Lindsay Polega-Quigley, who entered with Cross’ endorsement, while Republican Bill Mitchell says he plans to file before qualifying ends Friday.

—"Amira Fox endorses Susan Frantz to replace Jenna Persons-Mulicka in HD 78" via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics

Jerry Greenberg backs Ashley Litwin Diego in HD 106 — Pinecrest Village Council member Jerry Greenberg, a former federal prosecutor and founding partner of Gelber Schachter & Greenberg, is endorsing Litwin Diego in her bid for HD 106. "She is committed to the rule of law, committed to family, and committed to the values that matter most to the people of South Florida," Greenberg said. Litwin Diego, an attorney and breast cancer survivor, has also picked up endorsements from Miami-Dade County Mayor Daniella Levine Cava, former Miami Beach Mayor Dan Gelber, former U.S. Rep. Joe Garcia, and former Rep. Mike Grieco. "Jerry has spent his career standing up for what's right and serving his community with heart and integrity," Litwin Diego said.

  Statewide  

Ron DeSantis warns lawmakers weakened his property tax overhaul” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — DeSantis says the Legislature stripped key pieces from what he called “the most transformational property tax proposal in American history,” raising questions about whether the constitutional amendment can still clear the 60% threshold required in November. While praising lawmakers for putting a tax-relief measure before voters, DeSantis lamented the removal of a proposed trust fund intended to help fiscally constrained counties and other communities offset lost revenue. “They took out what I had proposed,” he said. The Governor argued his original plan had been thoroughly tested and was certain to pass. Even so, he remains optimistic that voters will approve the revised amendment and says lawmakers will be forced to revisit implementation details, including grant funding for local governments, during a future Legislative Session.

Ron DeSantis says lawmakers watered down his property tax plan. Imagine that.

DeSantis throws cold water on SpaceX IPO frenzy” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — DeSantis is urging caution as investors rush toward SpaceX’s highly anticipated public offering, warning that enthusiasm alone does not guarantee long-term value. Speaking in Brooksville, DeSantis acknowledged widespread excitement about the stock but suggested the market may be getting ahead of itself. “Sometimes exuberance, there’s a downside,” he said. The IPO is expected to debut at $135 per share and could raise roughly $75 billion, drawing unprecedented participation from small retail investors. DeSantis, who has previously questioned AI-driven market valuations, said he remains uncertain about how the stock will perform. His skepticism is shared by Morningstar, which values shares at $63 and warns the company could face increasing competition despite its current dominance.

Disease, despair and drugs fuel deaths in Florida prisons” via Elena Barrera of the Tallahassee Democrat — Death in Florida’s corrections system takes many forms: disease, despair, drugs and violence. A review of inmate mortality data shows that the toll inside prisons and jails is not limited to natural causes, with overdoses, suicides and violent deaths also shaping the picture. The deaths raise familiar questions about medical care, staffing, contraband, mental health treatment and oversight behind bars. For families, the numbers are not abstractions; they are sons, daughters, parents and loved ones who entered custody and never came home. The findings add pressure on corrections officials and policymakers to explain what is happening inside facilities — and what, if anything, is being done to stop it.

"Do immigrants trust hurricane shelters this year? We asked" via Juan Carlos Chavez of the Tampa Bay Times — Lupe Fierro went to a shelter in 2024 as Hurricane Milton made its way toward Florida. This year, Fierro, an immigrant who is not a legal U.S. resident, said she would think twice before doing the same. Though state and local authorities have said shelters are open to everyone and not places for immigration enforcement, many without legal residency remain unconvinced. Florida has made about 20,000 immigration arrests in less than a year. Florida has more of these cooperation agreements than any other state, except Texas. Ana Lamb, a well-known immigrant advocate in Hillsborough, said their hesitation concerns her. "In an emergency, no one should have to choose between protecting their life or protecting their family from possible detention," she said. Stephanie Hartman, director of communications for the Department of Emergency Management, said access to shelters is not conditioned on proof of residency, government-issued identification or immigration status.

  D.C. matters  

White House revives push to override state AI laws” via Ashley Gold and Maria Curi of Axios — The White House and congressional Republicans are renewing efforts to pre-empt some state artificial intelligence laws, pairing a key tech industry priority with legislation aimed at protecting children online and combating deepfakes. Sen. Marsha Blackburn is leading talks with the White House on an AI pre-emption package that could include the Kids Online Safety Act, the NO FAKES Act and age verification requirements. A Blackburn spokesperson said the proposal is not “blanket pre-emption of all laws regulating AI or child safety.” The push follows Trump’s AI and cyber executive order, which includes voluntary testing of frontier models. But with August recess approaching in an election year, the timeline for action remains tight.

Marsha Blackburn leads another federal push to corral state artificial intelligence laws.

"Trump wins years of guaranteed funding for immigration crackdown" via David Nakamura and Jarrell Dillard of The Washington Post — Republicans' decision to greenlight $70 billion for immigration enforcement over three years has cleared the way for Trump to pursue his mass deportation agenda for the rest of his term, even if the GOP loses control of Congress in the Midterm Elections this Fall. The GOP's spending plan simultaneously limits congressional oversight by eliminating the annual appropriations process that required bipartisan agreement. The House voted 214-212 along party lines to advance the immigration enforcement package after Republicans overcame a brief delay earlier in the day. The bill now goes to Trump to sign into law. "There is no question that this bill passing will make it incredibly difficult to reverse the creation of a huge deportation machine at the hands of Trump," said Nayna Gupta, policy director at the American Immigration Council.

"State Department dismantles birth tourism networks; Rick Scott, Florida officials previously raised concerns" via Michelle Vecerina of Florida Voice — The U.S. State Department says it has dismantled multiple international birth tourism networks spanning West Africa, Europe and North Africa as the Trump administration intensifies efforts to curb the practice of foreign nationals traveling to the United States to obtain citizenship for children born on American soil, an issue that has also drawn concern from U.S. Sen. Scott and state officials. In Europe, investigators identified more than 400 suspected birth tourism cases dating back to 2024. According to the department, a U.S. embassy in West Africa uncovered a network involving more than 100 foreign nationals who allegedly used fraudulent documents and visa facilitators to obtain visas. "Under Trump, the State Department is defending the integrity of U.S. citizenship by ending illegal birth tourism schemes," the agency said.

"UFC, not the White House, gets to decide if reporters cover fight" via Scott Nover of The Washington Post — The White House press corps won't be allowed on White House grounds Sunday because of a UFC fight being hosted on the South Lawn. The mixed-martial-arts company Ultimate Fighting Championship, or UFC, is run by Dana White, a prominent supporter and close friend of Trump. The organization is erecting a giant cage-fighting ring on the South Lawn for the bout on Sunday. The event is meant to celebrate Trump's 80th birthday and to kick off celebrations of the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence. After publication, White House spokesperson Olivia Wales said in a post on X that the press office had expanded the pool covering the event to accommodate more reporters. "The pool will be providing full coverage on the South Lawn for the duration of UFC Freedom250," Wales wrote.

A UFC cage rises on the White House South Lawn, because 2026 needed another plot twist.

  Local: S. FL  

Peggy Gossett-Seidman steps into Palm Beach County’s legislative void” via Kartik Krishnaiyer for West Boca News — Rep. Gossett-Seidman is being credited with delivering for Palm Beach County during the recent Legislative Session, taking on more than $111 million in appropriations requests while several local districts were left without active representation. The Boca Raton Republican pushed funding requests for infrastructure, education, environmental restoration, public safety, healthcare and nonprofits, extending her reach beyond her own District. She also passed HB 453, expanding K-12 flexibility so that students can count participation in marching band or Special Olympics toward graduation credit. The work positioned Gossett-Seidman as a regional anchor for a growing county, pairing Tallahassee budget advocacy with a District office focused on helping residents navigate state government.

Peggy Gossett-Seidman highlights Palm Beach County wins from the latest Legislative Session.

—"Broward PBA backs Adam Cervera for School Board District 6" via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics

  Local: C. FL  

Downpour floods Orlando streets, delays England-Costa Rica match” via Silas Morgan of the Orlando Sentinel — Heavy thunderstorms dumped up to 3 inches of rain across parts of Orange County on Wednesday, prompting a National Weather Service flood advisory and causing localized street flooding in Orlando. Water covered roads near Lake Lawsona, including portions of Thornton Avenue and Anderson Street, as runoff overwhelmed drainage systems. The weather also disrupted international soccer, delaying the England-Costa Rica match at Inter&Co Stadium after sections of the field appeared flooded. The advisory covered a broad swath of Orange County from Oak Ridge to Maitland and Pine Hills to Conway. The sudden soaking came just one day after Orange County issued a burn ban because of unusually dry conditions, highlighting Florida’s rapid weather swings.

Rain stalls England and Costa Rica after Inter&Co Stadium briefly auditions as a pond. Image via Orlando Sentinel.

  Local: TB  

"Governor signs bill that could reshape Hillsborough County Commission" via Nina Moske of the Tampa Bay Times — This week, DeSantis signed a bill that proposes adding two seats to the seven-member Hillsborough County Commission and drawing new District borders. The decision will go to voters as a ballot referendum in November, when four Commissioners are up for election. The bill, HB 4029, was first introduced in December by Republican representatives Michael Owen and Susan Valdés. It proposes expanding the Commission from seven members to nine and includes a clause that would increase the Board to 11 seats if Hillsborough's population reaches 2.5 million. The bill would also turn the Board's three countywide seats into single-member districts representing specific parts of the county. Commissioner Harry Cohen, meanwhile, said earlier this year, "I think there's a place for countywide decision makers."

Jennifer Collins joins Tampa Sports Authority amid stadium tensions” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — DeSantis has appointed Collins to the Tampa Sports Authority Board, placing a veteran attorney, fundraiser and civic volunteer at the center of ongoing stadium politics in Hillsborough County. Collins, a Florida State University graduate and former Assistant Attorney General, has served on numerous state Boards and Commissions, including the Florida Commission on the Status of Women and the Statewide Council on Human Trafficking. Her appointment comes as the authority faces heightened scrutiny over its role in discussions involving Tampa Bay Rays stadium plans and public funding priorities. The authority oversees Raymond James Stadium and other sports facilities throughout the county. Collins’ addition brings a new voice to a Board navigating increasingly sensitive debates over major public sports investments.

Jennifer Collins joins the Tampa Sports Authority, where stadium politics remain a full-contact sport.

"Poll shows voters see pros of Rays stadium, feel shut out of decisions" via Nina Moske of Tampa Bay Times — A majority of residents near the site of the proposed Tampa Bay Rays stadium think the ballpark will bring positive energy to the region, but feel they have not been given a meaningful say in decisions over how it will be built and paid for. That's according to a recent poll from researchers Timothy Kellison and Cole Armstrong of Florida State University and San José State University, respectively. Three in four survey respondents agreed that the stadium would bring jobs to the region, and roughly two-thirds said it would be a source of community pride. "Many residents recognize what a ballpark could bring— what they're less sure about is whether their voices have been part of the decision," Kellison said.

"‘I would have fought it’: DEI crackdown exposes split in St. Pete mayoral race" via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — DeSantis signed SB 1134 earlier this year, prohibiting counties and municipalities from funding, promoting or taking official action related to diversity, equity and inclusion. Asked by Florida Politics after the debate how they would handle the law if elected, candidates in the St. Pete mayoral race offered sharply different answers, ranging from cautious compliance to outright criticism of the state's approach. Mayor Ken Welch said his administration is already reviewing city programs and spending to determine how St. Petersburg can comply with the law without abandoning the city's broader values. Former Gov. Charlie Crist took a more confrontational stance, saying he would have resisted the state's action as a jab at Welch. "I would have fought it, unlike the Mayor," Crist said.

—"A wounded Ken Welch got circled at St. Pete's first mayoral debate" via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics

"Gus Bilirakis backs 'common-sense leader' Sam Wilson in Clearwater City Council bid" via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Bilirakis is endorsing Wilson for Clearwater City Council, the latest in a trove of backing from federal, state and local leaders. Wilson is running for Seat 5 to replace outgoing City Council member Lina Teixeira, who announced in January that she would not seek re-election. Wilson faces two challengers: former Clearwater City Council member Mark Bunker, an anti-Scientology activist who was unseated in 2024, and Kevin Laughlin, who chairs the Clearwater Marine Advisory Board and operates a local business. Bilirakis' support comes after two Pinellas County Commissioners, Chris Latvala and Brian Scott, also offered their endorsements last month. "Sam Wilson is a common-sense leader who understands the importance of government accountability, supporting first responders, and protecting your hard-earned paycheck," Bilirakis said.

Pinellas data center scare turns out to be mostly rumor” via Emily L. Mahoney of the Tampa Bay Times — A rumored data center on Gandy Boulevard sparked petitions, social media backlash and worried testimony before Pinellas County officials. But after chasing the claim, the Tampa Bay Times found no formal proposal exists. The speculation appears to trace back to Commissioner Kathleen Peters, who said on April 30 that “somebody” was interested in putting one on Gandy. Peters later clarified that county staff received only a phone inquiry, with “no application, no nothing.” Derby Lane’s new owners confirmed they once considered a data center but walked away. Still, Peters warned the larger issue is not going away, saying, “There’s no reason on the planet anyone should build a data center in this county.”

  Local: SW. FL  

"James Uthmeier leads operation busting illegal gambling ring in Collier and Lee counties" via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — Multiple law enforcement agencies joined forces to bring down an illegal gambling ring in Southwest Florida. Attorney General Uthmeier, along with officials from Lee and Collier Sheriff's offices, held a joint news conference on Wednesday to detail the results of "Operation Sunset Stakes." The roundup netted 479 illegal gambling machines, $294,000 in illegal proceeds and arrests of 11 people who were operating the bogus gambling establishments. During Wednesday's news conference, Uthmeier also announced his office has sent cease-and-desist notices to several payment processors who handle illegal online gambling transactions. "In so many of these cases, we connect these illegal operations with illicit money laundering, embezzlement, trafficking large-scale drug sales, retail theft — you name it — there's almost always a larger criminal network coordinated effort to scam and steal," Uthmeier said.

James Uthmeier details a Southwest Florida gambling bust because apparently, the house does not always win.

  Local: N. FL  

Council member behind ‘big favor’ also asked: ‘You ready to play the game?’” via Mark Woods for The Florida Times-Union — Newly released records are raising fresh questions about the origins of Jacksonville City Council President Kevin Carrico’s ongoing JEA investigation. Documents provided in response to a State Attorney’s Office subpoena show Carrico sent a text weeks before his now-famous “big favor” message, saying it was time to get a new JEA Board member to “show them who’s boss” and asking, “You ready to play the game?” Carrico said the message was sent to Boys & Girls Clubs of Northeast Florida President Paul Martinez. The records were released more than 100 days after local media first requested them. Meanwhile, critics argue the special investigatory Committee has drifted far from the circumstances that prompted scrutiny in the first place.

Kevin Carrico faces fresh questions over Jacksonville’s JEA investigation, because that saga needed another chapter.

Blaise Ingoglia escalates attack on Jacksonville spending habits” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Chief Financial Officer Ingoglia returned to Jacksonville to sharpen his criticism of the city’s budget, arguing that wasteful spending has climbed to $275 million this fiscal year, up from a previously cited $199 million. The Republican tied his analysis to the November property tax proposal, contending local governments have expanded spending well beyond inflation, population growth and other economic benchmarks. Ingoglia argued Jacksonville could absorb significant property tax reductions without sacrificing core services, while claiming the city overspent by $623 million over six years. Mayor Donna Deegan’s administration pushed back forcefully, calling the figures politically motivated and unsupported by specifics. The clash further intensifies a growing battle over local spending, property taxes and affordability as Jacksonville heads toward a Mayoral Election next year.

City Commissioners tee up controversial Phipps land annexation for vote” via Jeff Burlew of the Tallahassee Democrat — Tallahassee City Commissioners voted 3-2 to set a public hearing for the annexation of more than 1,700 acres of land near the environmentally sensitive Lake Jackson Aquatic Preserve and the protected North Meridian canopy road. The vote, which broke down along the usual factional lines, could open the door to development in an area that the owner, Jeffrey Phipps, has long held in conservation. Last year, Leon County Commissioners voted 4-3 against proposed Comp Plan changes that would have allowed far more residential units along with substantial commercial space, something nearby residents and environmental groups opposed. The Commission action means the public hearing will happen well before the November election, when the balance of power could change at City Hall. It’s already become an issue in the 2026 Election.

UF trustees confirm Stuart Bell as 14th President; BOG vote still to come” via Chelsea Long of The Gainesville Sun — The University of Florida Board of Trustees unanimously approved Bell. Bell’s past support for DEI has led some conservatives, including U.S. Secretary of Education Linda McMahon, to question whether he is the right person to lead UF as the university shifts rightward. He told trustees that such programs were widespread across public and private universities after 2020, aimed at helping underserved Americans achieve the “American dream,” and that he moved quickly to shut them down after state laws banned them. Bell still needs approval from the State University System Board of Governors, which oversees the state's 12 public universities, before he can assume the presidency. Given his DEI record, that approval is far from certain. The Board rejected the trustees’ unanimous pick for the position just last year.

Stuart Bell awaits a Board of Governors vote after University of Florida trustees sign off.

South Santa Rosa's new $132M high school opens its doors.” via Mary Lett of the Pensacola News Journal — Located between Gulf Breeze and Navarre on U.S. Highway 98, the $132 million, three-story school will open on Aug. 10 with approximately 300 ninth graders, 200 10th graders and about 50 ESE and other students. The ribbon-cutting was held in the school’s cafeteria, which is filled with school spirit. Soundside students wore “Hurri ’Canes” T-shirts while school staff and others wore green and white apparel. “SHS will be a place where students will discover their talents, build lifelong friendships and prepare for their futures. They will face challenges, celebrate successes, develop the skills and character that will help them make a positive difference in our world,” said Kasie Windfelder, Soundside High’s principal.

  Top opinion  

Property tax fight becomes a battle over local control” via Kate Payne of The Florida Trib — Florida’s property tax debate is evolving into something larger than a tax-cut discussion, with local officials warning that DeSantis’ proposal could fundamentally shift power away from communities and toward Tallahassee. At issue is a constitutional amendment approved by lawmakers that would dramatically expand Florida’s homestead exemption, potentially eliminating property taxes on many owner-occupied homes while offering no replacement revenue source for local governments.

Supporters see the measure as meaningful tax relief for homeowners struggling with rising costs. Critics, including many Republican local officials, see a different consequence: reduced local autonomy and greater dependence on the state.

The proposal would raise the state's homestead exemption from $50,000 to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 if voters approve it in November. Homes valued below those thresholds would pay no property taxes outside school levies.

Local governments, however, rely heavily on property taxes to fund police, fire rescue, parks, infrastructure and other services. Without replacement funding, officials say communities could face difficult choices, including service reductions, higher fees or special assessments.

Compounding concerns is the speed with which lawmakers advanced the proposal. The Legislature approved the measure before receiving a full fiscal analysis from state economists, leaving many unanswered questions about its long-term financial impact.

For opponents, the central issue is governance as much as taxation. As Manatee County Commissioner George Kruse argued, the debate is “not just a tax question, but a governance question” — one that could redefine the balance of power between local governments and the state.

  More opinions  

The gap SB 484 left open” via Mark McNees for Florida Politics — Florida’s SB 484 gets one thing right: data centers should pay for the power and grid capacity they demand. But it leaves a dangerous blind spot in what utilities pay their own affiliates. Regulated utilities can buy power from sister companies under the same corporate parent, creating related-party transactions that may never get the same tariff scrutiny. That middle number is where costs can hide, and ratepayers can end up covering the difference. With the NextEra-Dominion combination moving through review, Florida has a narrow window to act. The PSC should be able to audit affiliate transfer prices. Otherwise, SB 484 is only half a safeguard.

FIFA gets a crash course in American democracy” via Ry Rivard of POLITICO — FIFA President Gianni Infantino is learning that running a World Cup in North America is not the same as staging one in Russia or Qatar. With 78 of 104 matches in the U.S., FIFA must navigate elected leaders across 11 host communities, state and local governments, and the country’s messy federalist structure. Local officials have pushed back on transportation costs, stadium rules and licensing, while Attorneys General are investigating ticketing practices. Infantino conceded limits to FIFA’s reach after a Somali referee was denied U.S. entry. “We are not the kings of the world who can rule over governments and police forces,” he said. “We are a sports organization.”

  Instagram of the day  

  Aloe  

OpenAI says China tried to shape U.S. data center debate” via Dana Nickel, Yasmin Khorram and Jacob Wendler of POLITICO — OpenAI says it detected a likely China-backed influence campaign aimed at shaping U.S. debate over artificial intelligence and the data centers needed to support it. Researchers said operatives used ChatGPT to create social media content, arguing that data center buildouts raise electricity costs and that Trump used tariffs to preserve U.S. tech dominance. OpenAI said the accounts were banned and that there was no evidence the campaigns had much real public impact. “Neither campaign appears to have gained much authentic engagement,” said Ben Nimmo, OpenAI’s principal investigator of intelligence and investigations. The report will likely intensify Republican claims that foreign actors are stoking anti-data center sentiment.

OpenAI says China-backed operatives targeted the U.S. data center debate because infrastructure fights needed foreign spice.

Florida man sues after AI facial recognition leads to wrongful arrest” via Alyssa Spady of CBS News — A Florida man is suing Jacksonville Beach police after an AI-powered facial recognition system allegedly led to his wrongful arrest in a child-luring case. Richard Dillon spent months insisting he was more than 300 miles away when the 2023 incident occurred, but police relied on software that identified him as a 93% facial match. Charges were later dropped, and Dillon has now joined an ACLU lawsuit claiming officers treated an AI-generated lead as conclusive evidence rather than conducting an independent investigation. The case adds to growing scrutiny of facial recognition technology and its role in law enforcement. Dillon says the ordeal upended his life and hopes the lawsuit establishes stronger safeguards against future misidentifications.

  Happy birthday  

Celebrating today are Rep. Jervonte Edmonds, Hunter Clary, Traci Deen of Conservation Florida, Pasco Tax Collector Mike Fasano, Cesar Gonzalez, and Stuart Rogel.

___

Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, and Drew Wilson.

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