The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 5.12.26 — Burnin’ today: Special Session, Andreotta, petitions, DeSantis, Brightline & red snapper

Make the coffee. We’ll handle the politics. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

From: Extensive Media Enterprises Good Tuesday morning. Sure, it’s the beginning of Special Session, but let’s start with a cool personnel note. Florida-based consulting firm Brightwater Strategies Group is adding Jason Andreotta to its leadership team. Andreotta comes to Brightwater from the Florida Department of Environmental Protection, where he worked most recently as Assistant Deputy Secretary for Regulatory Programs. His résumé includes more than two decades of experience in environmental regulation, water resource management, and ecosystem restoration. Jason Andreotta joins Brightwater Strategies Group after more than two decades in environmental regulation and water resource management. At DEP, Andreotta oversaw the state’s regulatory districts, working with industries across the state and supporting Florida’s water quality programs. “Jason is a rare talent who combines a deep technical understanding of Florida’s environment with an unparalleled ability to solve complex problems," said Brightwater Strategies Group Founding Partner and former DEP Secretary Noah Valenstein. “Having worked closely with Jason for years, I know firsthand his commitment to finding common sense solutions that protect our natural resources while supporting Florida’s economy. His addition to our team ensures that Brightwater remains at the forefront of environmental and governmental strategy in the Sunshine State.” In his new role, Andreotta will focus on providing strategic guidance to clients in the private and nonprofit sectors, helping them navigate the intersection of environmental policy, regulatory compliance, and governmental affairs. “I am thrilled to join Noah and the exceptional team at Brightwater Strategies,” Andreotta said. “Throughout my career in public service, I have focused on delivering results for Florida’s environment through collaboration and innovation. I look forward to bringing that same dedication to our clients and helping them achieve their goals in this ever-evolving landscape.” Here are several other items for your radar: 🗳️ Petition accomplished? — Campaigns, listen up: We’re not going to write up a stand-alone story every time a 2026 candidate qualifies for the ballot by petition, but we’ve started a running compilation and would love to include yours. If your candidate has cleared the petition threshold, send the press release to peter@floridapolitics.com, and we’ll consider adding it to the list — and we’ll likely fire it out on social, too. Here’s the running tally so far. 🎧 Sen. Shevrin Jones thinks Florida’s Fair Districts Amendments could be the next casualty of Gov. Ron DeSantis’ new congressional maps — and he makes the case on the latest “Between the Lines” from State Affairs. The Miami Gardens Democrat tells host Dara Kam that the court fight over the maps could open the door for judges to unwind the constitutional guardrails against partisan gerrymandering. Jones also breaks down how “race-neutral” map-drawing flattens minority representation, unpacks the generational shift following the U.S. Supreme Court’s Louisiana ruling, and previews the Special Session on the budget. Listen here. 🎨 Tallahassee and Leon County are home to so many of my friends — and so much of my work — that I can’t stay quiet on this one. The Leon County Commissioners are voting on whether to transfer the Council on Culture & Arts grant administration to the county’s Division of Tourism — a proposal COCA leadership only learned of when the agenda was published. In a new column, I walk through the reserves, the ROI questions, the “peer county” comparisons that don’t hold up, and Option 2 — a one-year extension that seems like a reasonable place to land. Read it here. 🍽️ The NYT just dropped its annual ranking of the 100 best restaurants in New York City — chosen this year by new co-chief critic Ligaya Mishan, who scoured the city end to end. How many have you been to? I know Sunburn readers Brad Herold and Ryan Smith are big fans of #13, Via Carota — the West Village Italian gastroteca from Jody Williams and Rita Sodi, where the tonnarelli cacio e pepe is reason enough to book a flight. Browse the list here.

Situational awareness   Tweet, tweet: —@BillMelugin: President (Donald) Trump tells @FoxNews colleague @johnrobertsFox in a phone call just now that he is “seriously considering making Venezuela the 51st U.S. state,” adding that there is $40 trillion in oil there and “Venezuela loves Trump.” Tweet, tweet: —@TSA: Protein shakes? 3.4 oz or less, but rotisserie chickens??? As many as you can fit in your carry-on. Tweet, tweet: Tweet, tweet: —@Fineout: Speaker @Daniel_PerezFL - during WPB stop today - says he initially did not support a bill to let 2 high schools get state license plates. Rep. (Wallace) Aristide told him 1 was Northwestern. Then he said the 2nd was Columbus, alma mater of Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza … and Perez Tweet, tweet:

Days until   ’Yellowstone’ spinoff ’Dutton Ranch’ premieres — 3; French Open begins — 9; ’Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu’ premieres — 10; new mission for ’Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run’ premieres at Disney World — 10; Marvel’s ’Spider-Noir’ arrives on Amazon Prime — 15; Rafa Nadal documentary ’Rafa’ premieres on Netflix — 17; MLB Lou Gehrig Day — 21; Florida Tech & Innovation Summit — 22; ’Cape Fear’ series premieres on Apple TV — 24; ’Masters of the Universe’ premieres — 24; 2026 Florida Chamber Prosperity & Economic Opportunity Solution Summit — 27; Second Qualifying Period begins (State) — 27; South Africa in the FIFA World Cup opener in Mexico City — 30; Steven Spielberg’s ’Disclosure Day’ premieres — 31; Qualifying Period ends for Federal, Governor, Cabinet, State and local offices — 31; Flag Day — 33; the Octagon on the White House South Lawn: UFC Freedom 250 — 33; Trump’s 80th birthday — 33; ’Toy Story 5’ premieres — 38; The final season of ‘THE BEAR’ premieres — 44; ’Supergirl’ premieres — 45; Florida GOP Sunshine State Showdown debates — 45; live-action ’Moana’ premieres — 50; Primary Election UOCAVA ballot deadline — 53; Primary Election domestic ballot deadline — 58; MLB All-Star Game — 63; Domestic Primary Election VBM deadline — 65; Primary Election voter registration deadline — 69; ’Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ premieres — 80; ’Ted Lasso’ season 4 premieres — 85; Primary Election ballot request deadline — 86; Early voting period begins — 88; Primary Election Day — 98; NFL regular season kicks off — 120; San Francisco 49ers face the Los Angeles Rams in first-ever NFL regular season game in Melbourne, Australia — 121; Yankees host the Mets for 9/11 anniversary — 122; MLB Roberto Clemente Day — 126; General Election UOCAVA ballot deadline — 130; General Election domestic ballot deadline — 135; Domestic General Election VBM deadline — 142; General Election voter registration deadline — 146; Early Voting General Election begins — 165; General Election — 175; ’Godzilla Minus Zero’ premieres — 178; 2026 Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 183; ’The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ premieres — 192; ’Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 220; ’Dune: Part 3’ premieres — 220; untitled Star Wars movie premieres — 220; College Football Playoff national title game in Las Vegas — 258; Super Bowl LXI — 278; Tampa Mayoral Election — 294; 2027 Oscars — 306; Jacksonville First Election — 315; Jacksonville General Election — 371; ’Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse’ premieres — 389; ’Bluey the Movie’ premieres — 451; ’MIAMI VICE’ reboot premieres — 451; ’The Batman 2’ premieres — 507; ’Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 584; College Football Playoff national title game in New Orleans — 622; 2028 Oscars — 663; ’Lilo & Stitch 2’ premieres — 745; ’Incredibles 3’ premieres — 766; Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 794; U.S. Presidential Election — 910; College Football Playoff national title game in Tampa — 986; Avatar 4 premieres — 1,310; College Football Playoff national title games in Miami — 1,350; Avatar 5 premieres — 2,041.

Top story   “Déjà vu: Florida’s GOP-controlled Legislature returns for budget Special Session” via Gary Fineout of POLITICO — Republican leaders have agreed on broad spending targets, major disputes remain over tax cuts, prison funding, state worker raises and several priorities tied to DeSantis’ final years in office. The prolonged negotiations mark the second consecutive year lawmakers failed to complete the budget during the standard 60-day Session. Legislative leaders insist progress has been made, but tensions continue among the House, the Senate and the DeSantis administration over spending levels and fiscal priorities. Ron DeSantis faces renewed budget tensions as lawmakers return for a Special Session. House Speaker Perez has argued Florida needs to slow spending growth amid warnings the state could face future budget shortfalls. Perez also took direct aim at DeSantis, noting that state spending increased more during the Governor’s tenure than under previous administrations. Even after agreeing to overall allocations totaling roughly $52 billion in general revenue spending, lawmakers still must settle thousands of individual line items. Flashpoints include Everglades restoration, AIDS drug funding, school voucher fixes and support for the Florida State Guard. The House and Senate also remain divided over prison spending. A proposed 4,800-bed prison has emerged as one of the biggest sticking points in budget talks. The House wants to fund a new 4,800-bed prison and increase support for the corrections system, as Senate leaders warn the long-term operational costs could become unsustainable. Meanwhile, Democrats argue Republican leaders are ignoring Florida’s affordability problems. House Democratic Leader Fentrice Driskell renewed calls for suspending the state gas tax to offset rising fuel prices, though GOP leaders appear unlikely to embrace the proposal. —“Lawmakers head into overtime budget negotiations — again.” via Garrett Shanley of the Herald/Times Tallahassee Bureau Happening today — The 2026 Budget Special Session gavels in; both House and Senate will convene at 10 a.m.

Special Session   “Budget battle shifts to Everglades, parks and oyster restoration” via Kylie Williams of POLITICO — As lawmakers return to Tallahassee for a Special Session focused on finalizing the state budget, agriculture and environmental spending is emerging as one of the biggest unresolved fights between the House and Senate. Leaders agreed on a broader $1.38 billion general revenue framework for agriculture, natural resources and environmental programs, but sharp differences remain over where that money should go. Everglades restoration stands at the center of the debate, with the House proposing less than half the funding backed by the Senate and far below DeSantis’ request. Other flashpoints include Florida Forever land conservation funding, conservation easements, state park maintenance and oyster restoration in Apalachicola Bay. Environmental advocates warn that several key programs are underfunded; House leaders argue that existing appropriations should be fully spent before committing more taxpayer dollars. “Brightline tax break again on track during budget Session as company faces cash concerns” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Lawmakers are again considering a tax-credit expansion that would uniquely benefit Brightline as the private passenger rail company faces mounting financial pressure. A new Special Session tax package would temporarily extend an existing railroad tax credit to railroads operating entirely within Florida, a category state analysts say applies only to Brightline. The proposal could provide the company with about $800,000 in credits tied to track maintenance and reconstruction costs. The debate comes after financial filings revealed “substantial doubt” about Brightline’s ability to continue operating because of debt obligations exceeding $4.7 billion. The company lost more than $233 million in 2025 despite record ridership. The renewed proposal is also reviving broader scrutiny of public support for Brightline, which has received billions in public financing and safety-related infrastructure funding, amid ongoing concerns about pedestrian deaths along its rail corridor. A Brightline train travels through South Florida amid renewed debate over state-backed tax incentives. “House bill could give millions of dollars in tax breaks to aerospace industry” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — As lawmakers return to Tallahassee for the Special Session to approve the budget, one bill for consideration would create millions of dollars in tax breaks for Florida’s aerospace and defense industry. HB 7031-E is sponsored by Rep. Wyman Duggan, a Jacksonville Republican who serves as Chair of the House Ways & Means Committee. The House tax bill would expand the law to include nongovernmental tenants doing projects with Space Florida as having an “essential governmental purpose,” so they would be exempt from paying ad valorem taxes. ___ New and renewed lobby registrations Davis Bean, The Florida Group: Relay Terminals Nick Iarossi, Cory Dowd, Kaley Flynn, Caroline Frasier, Drew Meiner, Christopher Schoonover, Capital City Consulting: Boyne Capital Management, STRAX Technologies, Utility Associates Doug Holder, The Legis Group: USDL Mia Minguez, Robert Walters, Stearns Weaver Miller Weissler: Neutron Holdings

2026   “Ron DeSantis still hasn’t endorsed Jay Collins, but Collins says voters should read between the lines” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Lt. Gov. Collins is continuing to point to comments DeSantis made during his appointment announcement as evidence of confidence in his leadership, even though the Governor has not formally endorsed him as a successor. In a recent interview, Collins highlighted DeSantis’ remarks that Florida would not “lose a beat” if Collins needed to step into the Governor’s role, arguing the comments reflected trust in his readiness to lead. Collins, who moved to Florida in 2019 and served in the Senate before becoming Lieutenant Governor in 2025, has repeatedly suggested an endorsement from DeSantis remains possible. During the same interview, Collins also discussed threats and confrontations he said he experienced during his campaign and while in office, including reactions tied to his political positions and to legislation he sponsored in the Senate. Jay Collins points to Ron DeSantis’ past remarks as he discusses his political future. “Byron Donalds says ‘systematic discrimination’ is in the past, and so too should be ‘racial gerrymandering’” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Gubernatorial candidate Donalds is defending the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, arguing the decision correctly determined that congressional maps should not be drawn primarily around race. Speaking on “One Nation with Brian Kilmeade,” the Naples Congressman said the Voting Rights Act addressed historic discrimination against Black Americans when it passed in 1965. Still, he argued that the conditions that justified race-based protections no longer exist today. Donalds said the Court properly concluded that racial gerrymandering should remain illegal while allowing Legislatures and Redistricting Commissions to consider political factors and community representation when drawing district boundaries. He also reiterated support for Florida’s current congressional map championed by DeSantis, describing it as part of a broader national redistricting fight between Republican- and Democratic-controlled states. “New congressional map faces first legal test — and its fate could help shape U.S. House” via Jim Saunders of State Affairs — In the first major test of Florida’s new congressional redistricting plan, a judge will hear arguments Friday on a request for a temporary injunction aimed at preventing the plan from being used in this year’s elections. Leon County Circuit Judge Joshua Hawkes has scheduled a hearing on an injunction motion filed by attorneys for the Equal Ground Education Fund and other plaintiffs who contend the plan violates the Florida Constitution. The motion is part of a lawsuit filed May 4 — one of three lawsuits challenging the plan. The motion requests the continued use of districts approved by the Legislature and DeSantis in 2022. “Most voters don’t know who represents them in Congress. Redistricting confused them further” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Most Floridians can’t name their U.S. Representative, and the recent redrawing of congressional lines is only adding to the confusion. That’s according to a new survey by Tallahassee-based Sachs Media. Based on political awareness, pollsters found that only 39% knew who represented them in the U.S. House, 61% did not. Republicans were more aware, with 51% knowing their Representative compared to 28% of Democrats and 44% of respondents with no party affiliation. More than half of voters over age 45 knew their Representative; only 20% of those under 45 did. About 47% said they were “not sure” whether their U.S. House Representative will change. Meanwhile, 36% believe their Representative will remain the same; 16% believe their member of Congress will change under the new lines. —“GOP redistricting splintering Florida community angers Republicans and Democrats” via Teo Armus and Clara Ence Morse of The Washington Post —“Florida’s county election chiefs told to retain old congressional maps” via Jeffrey Schweers of the Orlando Sentinel “Shiela Cherfilus-McCormick, who resigned from Congress under cloud, says she’s running to regain her seat” via Anthony Man of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Former U.S. Rep. Cherfilus-McCormick announced she is running again for Congress less than a month after resigning amid an expected House expulsion recommendation tied to ethics violations and federal criminal charges she denies. Cherfilus-McCormick said she will seek the Democratic nomination in the newly redrawn 20th Congressional District in Broward County, arguing she remains the strongest candidate despite legal troubles and weak fundraising. Her announcement also intensifies potential tensions with U.S. Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, whose District was reshaped during Republican-led redistricting. Wasserman Schultz confirmed she plans to seek re-election but has not decided where she will run. Cherfilus-McCormick said she remains committed to fighting both politically and legally while continuing to deny wrongdoing. “HUCKPAC for America endorses Michael Carbonara ahead of DeSantis, Sarah Huckabee Sanders event” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — Carbonara has picked up the endorsement of HUCKPAC for America, the Huckabee family’s national political operation, in his bid for Florida’s 22nd Congressional District. The nod lands a day before a high-profile South Florida event featuring DeSantis and Arkansas Gov. Huckabee Sanders. Carbonara is expected to appear alongside both Governors at the May 12 event. The endorsement was announced by HUCKPAC for America Chair David Huckabee, brother of Sanders and son of former Arkansas Governor and current U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee. “Our nation stands at a critical crossroads with so much at stake. It’s why we need conservative leaders like Michael Carbonara in Washington,” David Huckabee said. “Michael’s extraordinary success as an entrepreneur and his personal commitment to the values that build strong families and communities will represent Florida well in the House and help put our nation on the right track.” Hector Mujica adds congressional backing — Democratic congressional candidate Mujica picked up endorsements this week from Washington Rep. Adam Smith and New Mexico Rep. Teresa Leger Fernández as he campaigns in Florida’s 28th Congressional District on a platform prioritizing affordability and economic opportunity. Smith, Ranking Member of the House Armed Services Committee, praised Mujica’s focus on housing, healthcare and workforce issues. Leger Fernández highlighted his technology background and support for workers and small businesses. Mujica said the endorsements strengthen his campaign’s focus on lowering costs for South Florida families. He faces retired U.S. Navy pilot Phil Ehr in a Primary. Sheriff Tommy Ford, Sen. Jay Trumbull line up early behind Tricia Berry in HD 6 — Bay County’s political establishment isn’t waiting to see how the field shakes out. Berry, the Republican running for House District 6 to succeed retiring state Rep. Griff Griffitts, rolled out endorsements from three of the county’s most recognizable officials: Sheriff Ford, state Sen. Trumbull, and Tax Collector Chuck Perdue. For Berry, only days into her campaign, the trio puts the political center of gravity in Bay County squarely behind her. Tricia Berry secures early backing from prominent Bay County Republicans in the House District 6 race. “Shawn Frost weighs HD 34 bid with '100 in 100’ listening challenge” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — Frost, a Marine Corps veteran and longtime conservative education advocate, says he is exploring a run for House District 34 — a seat currently held by Robert Brackett, who is rumored to be eyeing the newly drawn Florida’s 9th Congressional District. Frost said he is launching what he calls a “100 in 100 challenge” — contacting at least 100 people in the District over 100 hours to gauge support and identify the issues voters most want addressed. “I intend to take a week to determine if I can represent the constituents of HD 34 and fight to be the solution to voters’ problems in Tallahassee,” Frost said. “Florida’s physicians endorse Jon Maples in HD 87 rematch” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — The Florida Medical Association PAC (FMA PAC) is endorsing Republican Maples in his second swing at House District 87, doubling down on the GOP financial planner who narrowly lost the March Special Election in the Palm Beach County seat. “The Florida Medical Association PAC is pleased to continue their strong support of GOP candidate Jon Maples in House District 87,” FMA PAC President Andrew Borom said. “Maples’ understanding of Florida’s priorities as a businessman and community leader makes him uniquely qualified to serve in the Florida House of Representatives,” Maples said he was honored to have the support.

Statewide   “DeSantis says property tax Special Session will be scheduled sometime before the end of July” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — DeSantis said he is still weighing when to call a Special Session tied to a proposed constitutional amendment that would ask voters whether to eliminate Florida’s homestead property taxes. Speaking in Fort Myers, the Governor said scheduling discussions are underway to make the timing convenient for lawmakers and noted the proposal must be finalized by Aug. 1 to appear on the November ballot. DeSantis has spent months discussing the concept without releasing a formal plan, though recent comments suggest a more gradual approach than earlier proposals. Chief Financial Officer Blaise Ingoglia recently said the proposal could include a six-year transition period. DeSantis also predicted opposition from local governments, unions, business groups and other stakeholders concerned about the impact on public revenue and budget stability if homestead property taxes are reduced or eliminated. “Federal judge rejects Florida’s arguments about ‘Alligator Alcatraz’” via Stephany Matat of USA Today Network – Florida — A federal judge rejected Florida’s attempt to block an order requiring improved attorney access for detainees at Alligator Alcatraz, the temporary immigrant detention facility in the Everglades officially known as the South Florida Detention Facility. U.S. District Judge Sheri Polster Chappell dismissed arguments from DeSantis’ attorneys that the order amounted to compelled government speech and imposed excessive costs. The ruling requires the state to provide timely, confidential and unmonitored attorney access, along with one telephone for every 25 detainees. State attorneys argued compliance would cost roughly $180,000. The order comes amid growing scrutiny over conditions at the facility, including allegations that detainees were beaten after complaining about phones being shut off earlier this year. Alligator Alcatraz is the center of ongoing legal disputes over detainee conditions and attorney access. “Florida tapped another $45M for immigration enforcement” via News Service of Florida — According to Transparency Florida, a government accountability website through the Executive Office of the Governor, the Florida Division of Emergency Management filed a budget amendment May 6, notifying the Legislature it was spending $45.3 million out of the Emergency Preparedness and Response Fund to pay off invoices for the 2025-2026 year. In total, the division has spent $458.5 million in emergency funds on illegal immigration enforcement in the past year. The records didn’t detail how the money was spent, except to note it was for “illegal migration.” Florida Division of Emergency Management officials did not respond to emails or a phone call requesting comment. “ICE told Florida police to seek approval before sharing records, report says” via Juan Carlos Chavez of the Tampa Bay Times — U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement is directing local police agencies in Florida to get federal approval before releasing information related to partnership agreements, according to a report by the newsletter Two Can Be True. The report said ICE’s directive was sent by email between April 19 and May 5, after the newsletter asked why the Miami-Dade Sheriff’s Office took more than a month to share how many officers had received ICE training. ICE authorized the release of the information after the newsletter told the agency and the Sheriff’s Office that it planned to publish a story. However, the Sheriff’s Office sent only partial information. “Fentrice Driskell urges gas-tax suspension as Florida prices top $4” via Jim Saunders of State Affairs Florida — Democrats are again urging lawmakers to suspend the Florida gas tax as drivers continue facing fuel prices above $4 per gallon ahead of a Special Session focused on the state budget. House Democratic Leader Driskell argued the move would provide immediate relief for working families and seniors struggling with rising costs tied to the conflict involving Iran and broader economic pressures. Florida drivers currently pay at least 38 cents per gallon in state gas taxes and fees, with some counties charging additional local taxes. DeSantis remains skeptical of another gas-tax holiday, pointing to a temporary suspension in 2022 that he said yielded little noticeable savings due to fluctuating fuel prices. Republican leaders have not signaled support for the proposal as they prepare to negotiate the budget and potential tax changes during the Special Session, which runs through May 29. Happening today — CFO Ingoglia will hold a news conference in Riverview: 1 p.m. Location details will be provided to attendees after RSVP confirmation through Abigail Weeks at Abigail.Weeks@myfloridacfo.com. Happening today — The New College of Florida Board of Trustees will meet: 3 p.m., Sudakoff Conference Center, 5845 General Dougher Place, Sarasota. Virtual viewing is available. Also, the University of Florida Board of Trustees Committee on Governance, Government Relations and Internal Affairs will meet: 10 a.m., online. Dial-in access is at (305) 224-1968; meeting ID 964 456 59839. “Florida gas prices lower after hitting another 4-year high” via Florida Politics — Gas prices in Florida are moving lower after climbing to their highest level in nearly four years last week, according to AAA — The Auto Club Group. The state average rose 20 cents per gallon last week, peaking Thursday at $4.50 — the highest daily average since July 2022 — following sharp gains in the futures markets over the previous two weeks. Prices then eased through the weekend. Sunday’s price was $4.43 per gallon. By Monday morning, the state average dipped further to $4.40 per gallon. That’s 6 cents more than a week ago, 20 cents more than about a month ago and $1.48 more than this time last year. Drivers fill up in Florida as statewide gas prices ease slightly after reaching a four-year high. “Florida foreclosures on the rise as insurance costs, debt squeeze homeowners” via Pavlina Osta of Click Orlando — If you’re struggling to make your mortgage payment, you’re not alone. Foreclosures are climbing across Florida, and the state now ranks third worst in the nation, with experts warning the situation could get worse before it gets better. Short sale specialist Jenny Zamora has worked in real estate for 20 years. She took News 6 to one of the many Central Florida homes currently listed as a short sale, a property where the owners had already walked away. “You can notice the homeowners got up and left, and they left some other stuff, and most of it’s gone,” Zamora said. “Is Florida housing tanking or holding steady? Comparing myths vs. facts” via Clayton Park of The Palm Beach Post — Some national reports depict Florida as a housing market in deep trouble. But the latest statewide home sales numbers from Florida Realtors paint a much different picture: a housing market that saw sales of single-family homes rise 5.9% year-over-year in March with the fourth-highest ever median sale price of $420,000. “A lot of the talk about price drops ignores where we came from,” said Florida Realtors 2026 President Chuck Bonfiglio. “After years of rapid appreciation during the pandemic, some price moderation is both expected and healthy. When we look at Florida as a whole, we’re seeing prices start to level out … That’s what we want to see. And while buyer activity isn’t at the fever pitch of a few years ago, which frankly wasn’t sustainable, demand has been consistently rebuilding.”

D.C. matters   “Donald Trump says he’ll move to suspend federal gasoline tax. He can’t do it on his own” via Matthew Daly of The Associated Press — Trump said he will move to suspend the federal gasoline tax to help Americans shoulder surging fuel prices caused by the Iran war. The President cannot suspend the federal tax on his own. Congress would have to approve the move. Lawmakers from both parties have pushed for a gas-tax suspension, saying it would provide much-needed relief for families and businesses that rely on their cars and trucks to get to work and school and run everyday errands. The average national gas price was $4.52 a gallon, according to the AAA motor club, 50% higher than the average price of just under $3 a gallon before Trump began the war against Iran. “The families going hungry because of Trump’s food stamp cuts” via Shannon Pettypiece of NBC News — The line outside a suburban office building was already 15 people long when Tiffany Hudson showed up with her 7-year-old son cradling his blanket. It was 7 a.m. At the front of the line was a woman hooked up to an oxygen tank who had arrived 90 minutes before the building opened. Like others there, Hudson had come to the Arizona Department of Economic Security office in Surprise, a Phoenix suburb, to find out why the food stamp benefits for her and her two children were cut off after the state began implementing new eligibility requirements under Trump’s “Big, Beautiful Bill.” People seek assistance after changes to federal food stamp eligibility requirements. “Trump nominates ousted FEMA leader to run the agency again” via Scott Dance of The New York Times — Trump nominated Cameron Hamilton, a former member of the Navy SEALs, as administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, seeking to install the organization’s first permanent leader for Trump’s second term. If confirmed by the Senate, Hamilton would rejoin the agency a year after serving a brief stint as its acting administrator. He was ousted from that role days after he testified to Congress that FEMA should not be eliminated, an idea that Trump and Kristi Noem, then the homeland security secretary, had floated early last year. “Trump thrusts the Postal Service back into his election fraud crusade” via Gabe Cohen and Jeremy Herb of CNN — Trump is dragging the U.S. Postal Service (USPS) deeper into his war on mail-in voting. After years of baselessly casting vote-by-mail as a fraud magnet, Trump in March issued an executive order that would push USPS far beyond delivering ballots — and into the business of deciding who gets one. That order has raised alarms inside the Postal Service over whether it can or should take on such a complicated and controversial role, sources told CNN, especially when it may need help from Trump and Republicans to steady its finances. “The hilarious Marco Rubio meme is making America laugh together” via Megan McArdle of The Washington Post — A viral wave of online memes centered on Secretary of State Rubio has become an unexpected source of bipartisan humor in an otherwise deeply polarized political climate. The joke format typically imagines Rubio unexpectedly taking on increasingly absurd new roles after recently adding several government positions to his portfolio, including interim national security adviser and acting archivist. The commentary argues the memes resonate because they allow Americans with sharply different political views to laugh at the same joke without turning it into a partisan fight. The piece contrasts the lighthearted nature of the Rubio memes with today’s more combative political comedy landscape, where humor is often designed to reinforce ideological divisions rather than create shared amusement. The meme trend may be temporary, but shared humor remains one of the few cultural forces capable of easing political tension. Tweet, tweet: “Stephen Miller in retreat” via Michael Scherer and Nick Miroff of The Atlantic — Miller entered 2026 appearing more powerful than ever, driving aggressive immigration policies across the Trump administration and shaping everything from deportation targets to visa restrictions. But a series of political setbacks and internal disagreements has weakened his influence inside the White House. After public backlash over enforcement tactics and unrest tied to immigration crackdowns, Trump began shifting authority away from Miller and toward more traditional law enforcement officials like Tom Homan and Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin. The administration has since rolled back several Miller-backed initiatives, including cuts to seasonal worker visas and rapid ICE training programs, returning to more targeted immigration enforcement focused on immigrants with criminal records. Despite the setbacks, Miller remains a close Trump adviser and continues pushing hard-line immigration ideas behind the scenes. “Ethics Committee nears close of investigation of Cory Mills’ romantic troubles” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — The House Ethics Committee is intensifying its investigation into U.S. Rep. Mills, authorizing more than 20 subpoenas and reviewing thousands of documents tied to allegations involving defense contracts, personal conduct and questions about his military record. The inquiry expanded earlier this year to include accusations of dating violence and sexual misconduct involving former romantic partners, though the Committee emphasized no findings of wrongdoing have been made. The New Smyrna Beach Republican has denied any criminal conduct and called the probe politically motivated. The investigation originally focused on claims Mills improperly benefited from defense contracting businesses after entering Congress. Lawmakers from both parties have also questioned aspects of his military service record. The Committee said it expects additional testimony and evidence in the coming weeks before publicly releasing its findings.

Local: S. FL   Poll shows 70% of Miami voters back Eileen Higgins’ $450M public safety bond — A newly released poll commissioned by Mayor Higgins’ political committee shows overwhelming support among Miami voters for the proposed $450 million public safety bond aimed at modernizing the city’s aging emergency response infrastructure. Nearly 70% of likely Miami voters support the proposal after learning more about the plan and its impact on public safety. Before hearing detailed information, nearly 60% of voters already supported the bond. The proposal would fund a new police headquarters, a state-of-the-art 911 call center, a Category 5-ready Emergency Operations Center, and the modernization and expansion of neighborhood fire-rescue stations. Support is broad-based across Miami’s diverse electorate — with strong backing from Democrats, Republicans, and Independents alike, as well as voters in every City Commission District. The poll, conducted by MDW Communications May 4-10 among 410 likely City of Miami Primary voters, has a margin of error of +/- 4.8%. Eileen Higgins promotes a proposed public safety bond focused on emergency response infrastructure in Miami. “The law to stop local meddling with Trump’s Miami library has a big loophole” via Claire Heddles of the Miami Herald — Florida's Republican lawmakers rolled out the red carpet for Trump when they passed a law last year banning cities from enforcing local rules against presidential libraries, but there’s a catch that could give Miami officials far more power over Trump's plans than DeSantis intended. The state law DeSantis signed last Summer bars local governments from enforcing regulations hindering the construction or operation of a presidential library, as defined by the federal Presidential Libraries Act. But Trump’s plans for a skyscraper presidential museum and potential hotel in Miami don’t appear to meet that definition. There is already a formal Trump presidential library administered by the National Archives and Records Administration (NARA) holding records from his first administration. “Wildfires in Broward and Miami-Dade counties cut road visibility and access” via David Goodhue of the Miami Herald — Wildfires continued to burn up large areas of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. There have been no reported injuries; the smoke from the fires is reducing visibility on the roads, officials said. Firefighters from several departments, including Miami-Dade and Broward, as well as the Florida Forest Service, battled the flames. The larger fire is burning on U.S. 27 west of Pembroke Pines. State officials are calling it the Max Road Fire. It was burning around 4,800 acres and was only 20% contained, according to the Florida Department of Agriculture’s interactive wildfire map. The city of Weston issued a statement that the fire started near Mack’s Fish Camp at 18599 Krome Ave. Tweet, tweet: “Miami-Dade officers sue Ben Affleck, Matt Damon, alleging false portrayal in Netflix crime drama” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Two Miami-Dade Sheriff’s Office narcotics officers are suing Affleck and Damon over the Netflix crime drama “The Rip,” alleging the film falsely portrays them as corrupt law enforcement officers tied to a real 2016 drug investigation. Officers Jonathan Santana and Jason Smith claim the movie borrowed specific details from their role in a $24 million narcotics seizure, making them identifiable despite not being named directly. The lawsuit accuses Affleck, Damon and their production companies of defamation and intentional infliction of emotional distress. The officers argue scenes depicting misconduct and misuse of seized cash damaged their reputations and prompted questions from colleagues and friends. They are seeking compensatory and punitive damages along with a public disclaimer clarifying that the movie fictionalized events. “Florida to launch Lake Okeechobee study targeting phosphorus ‘hot spots’ fueling algal blooms” via Anita Padilla of Florida’s Voice — Florida environmental officials plan to launch a pilot study in Lake Okeechobee aimed at targeting phosphorus “hot spots” in lake sediments believed to be fueling harmful algal blooms, as part of a state demonstration program testing new water quality restoration technologies. The Florida Department of Environmental Protection has brought EutroPHIX—the water quality division of the U.S.-based water resource management company, SePRO — into the program to test whether phosphorus-binding materials can reduce nutrients already stored in the lake bottom. The project will begin in mid-May and focus on about 1,000 acres of sediment “hot spots” – which make up less than 1% of Lake Okeechobee – where phosphorus concentrations are highest, according to EutroPHIX Vice President of Environmental Restoration and Advocacy Dr. Mark Heilman. “Second federal lawsuit in a week filed against City of Key West” via Above The Fold — The City of Key West was served with its second federal lawsuit in less than a week during a City Commission meeting, according to federal court records obtained and reviewed by Above The Fold. The lawsuit was filed in the United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida by David H. Steinmeyer Jr. and Gulf Southern Construction Company KW, Inc. Named as defendants are the City of Key West, Raj Ramsingh, James Young, Ronald Ramsingh and Strykker-Avery Homes LLC. The Ramsinghs and Young have become known as the Bubba Bozo Trio in local circles.

Local: C. FL   “Congressional Dems probe immigration policies, tour jail in Orlando” via Ryan Gillespie of the Orlando Sentinel — Seven Democrats on the House Oversight Committee were in Orlando to investigate immigration enforcement in the state with most detentions nationwide — and also announce what they hope to be a major change in policy if their party takes control of Congress next year. The members, including U.S. Rep. Maxwell Frost, met with immigrant advocacy groups and local officials before heading to the Orange County Jail to talk with immigration detainees. They said the swing through Florida is critical in collecting information ahead of the Midterm Elections, when Democrats hope to take back both the House and Senate from the GOP. In advance of that, they announced the introduction of the No Illegal Captivity and Extensions Act of 2026, or NICE Act, which would require the release of ICE detainees who face no other criminal charges. Maxwell Frost joins fellow Democrats in Orlando to discuss immigration detention policies and oversight efforts. —“Orlando’s music scene in turmoil after ‘Uncle Lou’ detained by ICE” via Natalia Jaramillo and Cristóbal Reyes of the Orlando Sentinel “Sloth World: State agency launching task force to change rules following 55 sloth deaths” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — The Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission (FWC) is creating a task force to make changes in the wake of Orlando’s failed Sloth World attraction that led to the death of dozens of animals. State Rep. Anna Eskamani said the state agency has committed to setting up a task force after she met with officials. She also disclosed that the Orange County Sheriff’s Office is criminally investigating Sloth World. “Fifty-five sloths are dead. Wild sloths — animals that belonged in the rainforest — were brought into Florida and exploited for profit until the business that exploited them collapsed,” Eskamani said. “That cannot be the end of this story. Accountability requires action. Today’s meeting was a meaningful step forward for the future.” “New subpoena targets Daytona City Manager, CFO, purchasing employee" via Eileen Zaffiro-Kean of the Daytona Beach News-Journal — As the Florida Attorney General’s Office continues to probe purchases and financial practices of the Daytona Beach city government, another subpoena for information has been served. The latest subpoena, delivered to City Hall late in the workday May 1, according to an official familiar with the document, is addressed to City Clerk Letitia LaMagna. She was also served with a subpoena on April 29, but it appears that LaMagna is receiving them because her office maintains official city records. The first subpoena LaMagna received requested city records related to City Manager Deric Feacher, Deputy City Manager Jim Morris, Fire Chief and Deputy City Manager Dru Driscoll, Business Enterprise Management Director Michael Stallworth, Mayor Derrick Henry, City Commissioner Dannette Henry and City Commissioner Paula Reed. “Martha Santiago won’t seek third term on Polk County Commission” via Gary White of The Lakeland Ledger — Polk County Commissioner Santiago, who currently serves as Board Chair, will not seek a third term in District 4. Santiago, 71, would have faced a challenge from Haines City Commissioner Omar Arroyo, a fellow Republican who filed to run early in 2025. “I have been blessed to accomplish many of the things I set out to do when I first decided to run for the County Commission,” Santiago said. “I am proud to have served Polk County well and to have remained focused on the key priorities I set during my tenure, including ensuring our citizens’ safety, improving infrastructure, and supporting the county’s economic initiative to create jobs. It is now time to turn it over to someone else who also has a vision for what they hope to accomplish as a County Commissioner.”

Local: TB   “John Morgan says Orlando could land the Rays if Tampa stadium votes fail” via Emma Behrmann of the Tampa Bay Business Journal — Intermittent buzz around the Tampa Bay Rays potentially moving to Orlando has persisted for years, but if votes don’t fall into place for a Rays stadium in Tampa in the coming months, that threat could grow. At least Morgan, the founder of the Morgan & Morgan law firm and a former investor in the group that wants to bring Major League Baseball to Orlando, thinks so. Morgan briefly spoke about the Rays during an interview with WFTV’s Greg Warmoth, stating that if the team doesn’t get the votes for its new stadium in Tampa, Orlando would get the team. “Jane Castor urges Tampa residents to prep for hurricane season, study new evacuation zones" via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — There are new flood maps in Tampa, and Mayor Castor is urging residents to know their new hurricane evacuation zones before hurricane season begins. Castor highlighted the city’s new evacuation zones in her weekly newsletter. She urged residents to check for changes made since Hurricanes Helene and Milton that could affect them ahead of the upcoming hurricane season, which starts June 1. The changes are more significant than in previous years, Castor said. Zone A expanded, some properties previously in Zone D are now in Zone C, and some neighborhoods that were not previously in an evacuation zone are now in Zone E because major storms could leave roads impassable and delay search-and-rescue access. Jane Castor urges Tampa residents to review updated hurricane evacuation zones before storm season begins. “Bill Carlson winds up Tampa mayoral pitch, announces campaign kickoff event” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Tampa City Council Member Carlson will formally kick off his campaign for Mayor with a pitch to voters rooted in his watchdog reputation on government spending, infrastructure and City Hall management. Carlson’s campaign will host a kickoff event the evening of Tuesday, May 26, at Pane Rustica in South Tampa. The event marks Carlson’s first major public campaign gathering since he officially entered the 2027 Tampa Mayor's race last month with a launch video styled after the sitcom “Modern Family.” Though humorous in nature, Carlson sharply critiqued City Hall and said he saw “mismanagement firsthand” under Castor and her predecessor, Bob Buckhorn, who is now seeking a return to City Hall after his term limit expired. “Tampa defense contractors combine under new firm following $85M SOCOM contract” via Anjelica Rubin of the Tampa Bay Business Journal — Two local defense contractors are consolidating into a new Tampa-based defense tech firm. Endurion, backed by Chicago private equity firm McNally Capital, is bringing Quiet Professionals and Spathe Systems under one platform spanning intelligence, technology and mission support for Special Operations and national security customers. The combined company now employs more than 250 people, with roughly two-thirds in the Tampa Bay region, CEO Andy Wilson told the Tampa Bay Business Journal. The launch also comes alongside significant contract momentum this year. Endurion recently secured a five-year, approximately $85 million contract with the U.S. Special Operations Command. “St. Pete Beach tells waterfront owners to get rid of ‘no trespassing’ signs” via Mark Schantz of Beacon Media — St. Pete Beach City Commissioners have imposed a 60-day emergency moratorium on no-trespassing signs along the Gulf of Mexico side of the beach, setting up a showdown with waterfront property owners who say the markers are needed to deter trespassers and help deputies enforce property lines. The emergency ordinance, approved 4-1 at a recent Commission meeting, prohibits signs, posts and poles within 50 feet landward of the mean high waterline. Violators have seven days to remove them. Commissioner Al Causey cast the dissenting vote. City Manager Frances Robustelli said the city had fielded “significant concern from the community over various poles being erected within sand, close to the water line on the beach.”

Local: N. FL   “Widow of FSU mass shooting victim files federal lawsuit against OpenAI, ChatGPT” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — The family of one of the victims of a mass shooting at Florida State University is filing a federal lawsuit against OpenAI, claiming its artificial intelligence program ChatGPT contributed to the killing. Tirus Chabba was one of two people shot to death at FSU during the mass shooting on April 17, 2025. His widow, Vandana Joshi, filed the lawsuit with the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Florida, Tallahassee. The suit was also filed on behalf of the couple’s son and daughter. The 76-page legal filing alleges Phoenix Ikner, who is accused of shooting the victims, planned the shooting with detailed directions provided by ChatGPT. Tirus Chabba’s family files a federal lawsuit tied to the 2025 mass shooting at Florida State University. “$8,400 doors, ‘concerns’ trigger HUD investigation of city of Tallahassee program” via Jeff Burlew of the Tallahassee Democrat — The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development has placed Tallahassee’s lead paint hazard reduction program on “high risk” status and launched an audit over concerns involving contractor payments, procurement practices and whether work qualified under federal guidelines. City officials suspended the program after HUD raised questions about spending tied to the $4.4 million grant, including door replacements costing roughly $8,400 each at one property. About $1.6 million has already been spent, with HUD reimbursing just over $1 million. Federal officials warned that the city may have to repay some or all the grant funds. HUD also criticized the program’s limited outreach efforts and failure to meet performance benchmarks for four consecutive quarters. Happening today — The Leon County Democratic Party will host its Spring Fundraiser on Tuesday evening, featuring remarks from Leon DEC State Committee member Jeremy Matlow and Leon County Commissioner Bill Proctor alongside local Democratic leaders and candidates. Organizers say the event will include Peruvian cuisine, drinks and a silent auction featuring locally sourced items as Democrats gather ahead of the 2026 Midterms. Tickets start at $35, with sponsorship opportunities available for donors contributing $100 or more. The fundraiser comes as party leaders work to build momentum and expand fundraising efforts heading into the election cycle: 6 p.m., Café de Martin, Esposito Garden Center Plaza, 2743 Capital Circle NE, Tallahassee. Tickets are available here. “Leon County arts decision deserves longer look” via Marjorie Turnbull for the Tallahassee Democrat — A proposal before the Leon County Commission to transfer arts grant programs from the Council on Culture & Arts to the county’s Division of Tourism is drawing concerns from arts advocates who warn the move could politicize funding decisions historically guided by artists and cultural professionals. Critics argue the proposal was introduced with little public notice and could weaken long-standing partnerships that support local artists, arts education and outside grant funding. Supporters of COCA note that the organization generates more than $200 million annually in local economic impact and brings in more than $259,000 in outside funding this year alone. Advocates are urging Commissioners to approve an alternative option extending the current agreement for one year to allow for broader public input and a more deliberate review process.

Local: SW. FL   Spotted — At the RPOF of Sarasota Statesman of the Year Dinner honoring Sen. Joe Gruters as the 2025 Statesman of the Year, former Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin as the 2026 Statesman of the Year and Congressman Vern Buchanan with the 2026 Lifetime Achievement Award. Attending the event were Ingoglia, Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson, Rep. James Buchanan, Max Goodman, Chris Hodges, JR Kennelly, Jon Kilman, Christian Minor and House candidate Nick Pachota. Joe Gruters and Glenn Youngkin appear at the Sarasota Statesman of the Year Dinner honoring Republican leaders. “Rain, rain, come this way. Naples may see light rains this week” via Chad Gillis of the Fort Myers News-Press & Naples Daily News — Southwest Florida could get an early glimpse of Summer weather this week as a low-pressure system brings scattered rain chances to the Naples area and the Everglades. Forecasters say inland areas could see a 50% to 60% chance of rain as coastal communities face lower odds as sea breezes push moisture toward the interior. Although the region’s average rainy season start date is May 15, meteorologists say consistent daily afternoon storms may still be weeks away. The brief rainfall is not expected to significantly improve drought conditions that continue across much of Florida during wildfire season. Forecasters estimate rainfall totals could range from a quarter inch to a half inch, with drought concerns likely lingering into the Summer months despite the seasonal shift toward wetter weather.

Top opinion   “Trump’s redistricting push could cost Republicans more than it gains” via Jonathan Martin of POLITICO — Trump delivered Republicans a rare stretch of good news last week, reinforcing his grip on the party through successful pressure campaigns, favorable court developments and a stronger-than-expected jobs report. Those victories briefly masked the deeper political vulnerabilities surrounding Trump and the GOP heading into the November elections. The central warning for Republicans is that Trump’s short-term political instincts may damage the party’s long-term standing. Encouraged by recent redistricting wins and Supreme Court rulings weakening majority-minority districts, Republicans may push aggressively for additional congressional seats. But that strategy risks energizing Democrats, creating new competitive districts and alienating voters the GOP worked hard to attract in 2024. Trump once appeared capable of reshaping the Republican Party by expanding support among working-class voters, younger Americans and minority communities frustrated with Democrats. Instead, his second term has become defined by political vendettas, tariff battles and polarizing immigration tactics that reignited concerns among swing voters. The fallout has been significant. Trump’s approval ratings have fallen sharply, and the gains he once made among Black voters appear to be disappearing. That erosion becomes especially dangerous as Republicans pursue redistricting plans widely viewed as weakening Black political representation in Southern states. Scenes of white lawmakers advancing redistricting efforts against longtime Black Democratic incumbents hand Democrats a potent political message about race, representation and power. Those images could reignite distrust among Black voters who had begun drifting toward Republicans. Republican lawmakers now face a difficult calculation: whether protecting Trump politically today is worth weakening their party long after he leaves office.

More opinions   “Trump isn’t setting JD Vance or Rubio up for the future,” via David Graham of The Atlantic — Trump is increasingly fueling speculation about the Republican Party’s 2028 Presidential field by privately comparing Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio as potential successors. Rubio has recently gained visibility inside the administration, appearing frequently alongside Trump and emerging as a more relatable figure to some MAGA voters despite his role defending an increasingly unpopular war and rising economic uncertainty. Vance, meanwhile, has maintained stronger favorability among Republican voters and has kept a lower profile and expressing skepticism about the administration’s foreign policy approach. The looming challenge for either candidate is balancing loyalty to Trump and his MAGA base, while distancing themselves from policies that could damage Republican prospects in a General Election after Trump leaves office. “Why so few babies? We might have overlooked the biggest reason of all.” via Anna Louie Sussman of The New York Times — Falling birthrates across the developed world may have less to do with money or family policy than a growing sense that the future itself feels unstable. Researchers increasingly believe economic anxiety, political chaos, climate fears, housing costs and constant global crises are convincing young adults to delay or abandon parenthood altogether. Even financially stable couples with careers and supportive relationships say uncertainty about jobs, healthcare, safety and long-term security makes raising children feel risky. Demographers point to declines in births across wealthy nations, despite generous social programs, suggesting deeper psychological forces are reshaping family decisions. The result is a generation caught between wanting children and feeling unable to trust the world they would bring them into. "The political power of the wine mom” via Jessica Winter of The New Yorker — The once-mocking stereotype of the “wine mom” has evolved into a potent political force shaping Democratic activism during Trump’s second term. Originally tied to suburban motherhood culture and marketing trends, the label now describes politically engaged, middle-aged women organizing around schools, immigration, local elections and progressive causes. The piece argues that conservative attacks on “wine moms” reflect broader anxieties about women-led grassroots movements capable of mobilizing voters and communities. Researchers and activists say these women have become central to Democratic organizing because of their strong local networks, school involvement and community ties. From School Board races to immigration protests, the growing influence of politically active suburban mothers may play a key role in shaping the 2026 Midterm Elections and the Democratic Party’s future direction.

Instagram of the day

Aloe   “DeSantis announces 140-day long recreational Gulf red snapper season” via Claire Galt of WINK — DeSantis announced the 2026 recreational Gulf red snapper season in Fort Myers. During a news conference, DeSantis began by saying that the Florida boating and fishing industry outpaces the rest of the country, bringing in roughly $31 billion annually. DeSantis says the prominence of fishing in the state stems from the accessibility for boaters and Florida’s reputation as a recreational boating-friendly state. Ron DeSantis announces Florida’s 2026 recreational Gulf red snapper season during a news conference in Fort Myers.

Happy birthday   Celebrating today are Justice Alan Lawson, Leslie Dughi of Metz Husband Daughton, Jim Eaton, and Nate Monroe, executive editor of The Jacksonville Tributary. ___ Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles and Drew Wilson.

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