Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 11.4.26 — Burnin’ today: Donalds & Jolly, Trump, Senate shake-up, Amendment 1, Book, Crist, Democratic flips & Space Lasers

The first word in Florida politics — Sunburn ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

From: Extensive Media Enterprises

Good Wednesday morning.

Well, that escalated quickly.

What began as a Midterm referendum on the cost of living became a reckoning for Republicans. Democrats captured the U.S. Senate, moved toward a House majority, and showed that even the reddest terrain isn't immune to an unhappy electorate.

The Senate map tells the story. Democrats won in Texas, Kansas, Iowa and South Carolina, while Sherrod Brown reclaimed an Ohio seat and Roy Cooper prevailed in North Carolina. Those are not merely good Democratic nights. They are the kinds of results that redraw assumptions about politics.

President Donald Trump spent weeks campaigning across the country, but his presence couldn't reverse the tide. Afterward, he said he wasn't on the ballot. Technically true. Politically, that argument ignores how he made this election about his presidency.

Voters offered a simpler explanation: everything costs too much. The Associated Press found dissatisfaction with the economy, inflation and government corruption. Add the war in Iran, and Republicans were defending a Washington status quo that voters had little interest in defending.

Voters have plenty to say about prices, and the ballot box delivers their message. Image via REUTERS/Jonathan Drake.

Florida offered a more complicated picture. Byron Donalds won the Governor's Mansion; Ashley Moody kept her Senate seat, and Republicans retained statewide strength. Yet competitive congressional races and Democratic gains down-ballot challenged the idea that Florida's political map is permanently settled.

That distinction matters. Florida did not turn blue. But the national backlash reached places Republicans had long considered theirs. A party can maintain statewide dominance while losing its grip on districts, suburban voters and the arguments that once carried it through difficult elections.

Democrats should resist treating this as a blank check. Their favorability numbers remain unimpressive. Voters did not embrace every Democratic proposal; they demanded relief, accountability, and evidence that Washington understands what households face when bills arrive, and paychecks do not stretch far enough.

The result is divided government and a much harder final two years for Trump. The lesson extends beyond Washington: political loyalty has limits, redistricting cannot solve every problem, and voters eventually demand results. Tuesday was not subtle. Whether either party listens is the next election story.

  Situational awareness  

—@MattGorman: It’s hard to explain to folks who haven’t worked in politics what a weird and boring day Election Day actually is …

—@MerriamWebster: pole = 💈 poll = 🗳️

—@AlanMCole: I’ve seen enough. I don’t have an election call or anything. I’ve just seen enough.

—@igorbobic: What I'm hearing: turnout high among memo writers for Interested Parties

—@rachelmbaede: It's nights like tonight I really miss Tweetdeck!

—@Jtuckermartin: Drove all the way to my local polling place and there was literally nowhere on my ballot to vote against a 24-team College Football Playoff and a 76-team NCAA Basketball Tournament. Had to write it all in

—@BobMcClure: A very challenging national environment for Rs — a lot of self-inflicted wounds too — but the “Free State of Florida” defies the odds and shines brightly as a beacon of liberty. Sweeps the statewide

Tweet, tweet:

—@RonDeSantis: Florida sweeps again — congrats to the statewide ticket: Byron Donalds, Gov James Uthmeier, AG Blaise Ingoglia, CFO Wilton Simpson, Ag Comm.

—@JamesUthmeier: Tonight, Florida voted to keep our state safe, strong, and free. Grateful for your trust. We’ll keep locking up child predators, backing law enforcement, and defending your God-given rights. The Free State of Florida stays free. Thank you. The work continues!

—@RonDeSantis: Amendment 1 — a testament to our failed former Speaker of the House — is deservedly going down in flames. Good riddance.

—@KathyCastor: THANK YOU, FL-14! This victory is proof that no amount of money, politics, or gerrymandering can replace the trust earned by showing up, listening, and delivering for the people we serve. Now, it's time to get back to work.

—@JaneCastor: Congratulations, Mayor-elect @CharlieCrist! Your love for St. Pete shines bright, and I look forward to working together to make Tampa Bay even greater.

—@CordByrd: I am so honored to lead an amazing elections team @FLSecofState and to work with our 67 Supervisors of Elections. Every election presents unique challenges, and this one was no different. From torrential rains to an alligator in a parking lot, we handle it all. We proved again today that no one does elections better than Florida!

—@LennyCurry: If you are a local Florida elected official and not on this ballot and you were against property tax cuts — You are on notice.

  Days until  

‘Godzilla Minus Zero’ premieres — 2; ‘Wild Horse Nine’ premieres — 2; Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 7; 'Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol' starring Johnny Depp premieres — 9; 'Paper Tiger' starring Adam Driver premieres — 9; Joe Biden’s memoir, ‘Promise Me, America,’ is released — 13; New legislator training sessions — 13; Senate convenes for general organization and selection of officers — 13; ‘Madden’ premieres — 14; ‘I PLAY ROCKY’ premieres — 16; ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ premieres — 16; 'Blade Runner 2099' premieres on Prime Video — 21; ‘The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth,’ with Brad Pitt, directed by David Fincher and written by Quentin Tarantino, premieres in IMAX — 21; Committee Week #1 — 26; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 44; ‘Dune: Part 3,’ directed by Denis Villeneuve, premieres — 44; 'Six Kings Slam 2026' begins — 53; Committee Week #2 — 61; Committee Week #3 — 68; 'Ahsoka' season 2 premieres — 77; College Football Playoff national championship game in Las Vegas — 82; Committee Week #4 — 89; The 2027 Florida State Fair begins — 92; 'Remain,' directed by M. Night Shyamalan, premieres — 93; Grammys — 95; Committee Week #5 — 96; Super Bowl LXI — 102; Committee Week #6 — 103; Opening day of the 2027 Regular Legislative Session — 118; Tampa Mayoral Election — 118; ‘The Thomas Crown Affair,’ directed by and starring Michael B. Jordan premieres — 121; Jacksonville First Election — 125; Oscars — 130; Miami Marlins Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. New York Mets — 141; Tampa Bay Rays Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. Baltimore Orioles — 141; Democratic Mayors Association 2027 annual summit in Miami begins — 161; Jacksonville General Election — 195; 'Star Wars: Starfighter' premieres — 205; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse’ premieres — 226; Citrus Series — Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins — 254; 'The Bluey Movie' premieres — 275; Citrus Series — Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays — 310; 2027 Florida-Georgia game in Tampa — 360; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 408; 2028 South Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary — 444; College Football Playoff national championship game in New Orleans — 446; 2028 Nevada Presidential Primary — 454; 2028 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary — 461; 2028 New Mexico Democratic Presidential Primary — 468; ‘The Batman Part II’ premieres — 471; 2028 Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary — 475; 2028 Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary — 482; Oscars — 487; 'X-Men' premieres — 548; ‘Miami Vice '85’ reboot premieres — 562; ‘Lilo & Stitch 2’ premieres — 569; 'Days of Thunder' sequel with Tom Cruise and Anne Hathaway premieres — 576; ‘Incredibles 3’ premieres — 590; 2028 Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 618; 'Ghost Rider' premieres — 632; 2028 U.S. Presidential Election — 734; ‘Black Panther 3’ directed by Ryan Coogler premieres — 772; College Football Playoff national championship game in Tampa — 810; ‘Avatar 4’ premieres — 1,143; ‘Avatar 5’ premieres — 1,871.

  Top story  

“Voters punish Donald Trump as Democrats sweep across the country and threaten Republican control of Congress” via Steve Peoples, Bill Barrow and Linley Sanders of The Associated Press — Voters delivered a sweeping rebuke of Trump, handing Democrats victories across battleground states and Republican strongholds while threatening GOP control of Congress. The results reflected widespread frustration with rising costs, Trump's leadership and the country's direction.

Democrats captured major victories in Georgia, Iowa, Ohio, Texas, Kansas and South Carolina. Keisha Lance Bottoms became Georgia's first Black woman Governor, while Gina Hinojosa became Texas' first Latina Governor. Democrats reached majorities in both chambers of Congress.

Donald Trump finds the Midterm verdict considerably less flattering than the campaign trail. Image via The Associated Press.

The AP Voter Poll revealed deep dissatisfaction: Roughly three-quarters of voters expressed anger or frustration with the country's direction. Six in 10 disapproved of Trump, while about 70% wanted Congress to impose stronger checks on the President.

Trump's electoral coalition eroded significantly. Seven in 10 voters under 30 backed Democratic House candidates, while Hispanic voters shifted decisively away from Republicans. Economic concerns fueled the backlash, with most voters blaming administration policies for higher prices.

Republican redistricting efforts also appeared to backfire. In Florida, Democrats Jared Moskowitz, Pia Dandiya and Kathy Castor prevailed in congressional districts Republicans had redrawn to favor GOP candidates. Democrat Angie Nixon lost her Senate contest despite exceeding expectations.

Democrats nevertheless face significant challenges. Half of voters viewed their party unfavorably, exposing persistent ideological divisions. Tuesday's results strengthened moderates while raising fundamental questions about Trump's remaining influence and the political landscape heading toward 2028.

___

“Republicans lose Senate as Trump suffers devastating Midterm defeat” via Herb Scribner of Axios — Democrats seized control of the U.S. Senate after stunning victories across traditionally Republican states, delivering a devastating rebuke to Trump. Republican losses in Texas, Kansas and South Carolina highlighted a nationwide backlash that also placed Democratic control of the House within reach.

In Texas, Democrat James Talarico defeated Trump-backed Ken Paxton, while Gina Hinojosa unseated Republican Gov. Greg Abbott. Kansas Democrat Adam Hamilton ended 94 years of Republican Senate dominance. South Carolina Democrat Annie Andrews defeated incumbent Darline Graham, another extraordinary upset.

Democrats also flipped Senate seats in Iowa, Maine and Ohio. Josh Turek defeated Ashley Hinson in Iowa, Troy Jackson ousted Susan Collins in Maine, and Sherrod Brown defeated Jon Husted in Ohio. Democratic victories in North Carolina, Georgia and Minnesota further cemented the party's sweeping gains.

Trump, who made himself central to Republican campaigns, responded with anger and recriminations. He attacked Fox News polling, criticized losing candidates and posted a red hat emblazoned with “VETO.” Nevertheless, Trump acknowledged the results and suggested cooperation with Democrats might be possible.

The election also produced historic milestones. Chris Pappas became the first openly gay man elected to the Senate, while Juliana Stratton's Illinois victory ensured three Black women would serve simultaneously for the first time.

Voters cited the cost of living and government corruption as top concerns. Democratic Senate control now threatens Trump's legislative agenda while opening the door to congressional investigations, subpoenas and intensified oversight during his remaining presidency.

  Statewide  

“Byron Donalds makes history as Florida’s first Black Governor, defeats David Jolly in closer-than-expected race” via Skyler Swisher of the Orlando Sentinel — Republican Donalds defeated Democrat Jolly to become Florida’s first Black Governor, extending Republicans’ three-decade grip on the Governor’s Mansion despite a surprisingly competitive contest. With 99% of votes counted, Donalds led by approximately 117,000 votes, and The Associated Press called the race at 9:09 p.m. Donalds credited Trump, whose early endorsement helped propel his candidacy, and promised to govern for Floridians regardless of their votes. The Republican raised more than $173 million, dwarfing Jolly’s approximately $27 million. Jolly, a former Republican Congressman who joined the Democratic Party in 2025, hoped to end Democrats’ gubernatorial losing streak dating to Lawton Chiles’ 1994 victory. He conceded but argued his campaign had assembled an emerging coalition. Donalds pledged to continue Gov. Ron DeSantis’ conservative agenda, including school choice, gun rights and immigration enforcement. The candidates clashed over property insurance, education, healthcare, and data centers but never met for a televised debate. Donalds supported the successful Amendment 3 property tax initiative. Republicans also swept Florida’s other statewide contests, although Moody faced a closer-than-expected challenge from Democrat Nixon.

Byron Donalds made Florida history, even as the national tide ran the other way.

“Ashley Moody defeats Angie Nixon to retain U.S. Senate seat” via Nina Moske of the Tampa Bay Times — Republican U.S. Sen. Moody defeated Democratic state Rep. Nixon, securing the seat DeSantis appointed her to in 2025 after Marco Rubio became Secretary of State. The Associated Press called the race at 8:36 p.m., with Moody leading 50.8% to 48.1%. A former Attorney General and Hillsborough County Judge, Moody emphasized conservative priorities and national security. Nixon, a Jacksonville progressive and former union organizer, campaigned on affordability and working-class concerns. Moody enjoyed a substantial financial advantage, raising approximately $20.6 million compared with Nixon’s $8.5 million through September. The victory preserves Republican control of the seat despite Nixon’s competitive showing and energized Democratic fundraising.

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November 4 Prayer Pod

Philippians 4:6 Do not be anxious about anything, but in every situation, by prayer and petition, with thanksgiving, present your requests to God. – NIV

We all want to pray but sometimes we find it difficult to begin our prayer.  Many Pastors and Ministers suggest you begin your prayer by praying back God’s words from Scripture.

These daily prayer PODs are constructed to help you in your prayer life.

November 4   
Pray: Our Father in heaven, hallowed be Your name, Your kingdom come, Your will be done, on earth as it is in heaven. Lord hear Your words Proverbs 24:10 If you faint in the day of adversity, your strength is small.

Lord hear my request: (Say your needs, wants, fears, thanksgivings) - In Jesus name I pray – Amen.

READ THE NEW TESTAMENT IN A YEAR….
Today’s Reading for November 4  Hebrews 13:15-25

To learn more about accepting Jesus Christ as your Lord and Savior click here: SALVATION CONNECTION

 

  





 

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

2026 Election Day Reads powered by Kato Law and Lobbyscape

From: Extensive Media Enterprises

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© 2026 Extensive Enterprises Media

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Emails & Opinions Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 11.3.26

 


From: Extensive Media Enterprises

Good Tuesday morning. Happy Election Day.

The Cook Political Report has released its final ratings for the 2026 Midterm Elections.

Dave Wasserman says the last five House moves all went toward Democrats, including Florida’s 4th Congressional District. Cook rates 18 seats Likely Democratic, 18 Lean Democratic, 18 Toss-Up, 18 Lean Republican, and 17 Likely Republican. Republicans hold 14 of the 18 Toss-Ups.

Erin Covey’s hour-by-hour Election Night guide has the full list.

Election Day arrives with control of Congress hanging in the balance.

In Florida, U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz’s CD 25 is Lean Democratic. U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor’s CD 14 and the open CD 22 are Toss-Ups. The open CD 7, U.S. Rep. Darren Soto’s CD 9, U.S. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna’s CD 13, and U.S. Rep. María Elvira Salazar’s CD 27 are Lean Republican. The open CD 16 and U.S. Rep. Aaron Bean’s CD 4 are Likely Republican.

Cook moved Bean’s seat from Solid Republican to Likely Republican in its final update. I’m not buying it. CD 4 is a Jacksonville-area District that President Donald Trump carried by 12 points.

In the Senate, Cook rates U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody Likely Republican, matching the Crystal Ball. Six seats are Toss-Ups, all Republican-held: Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. The open seats in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire are Lean Democratic. Georgia and the open North Carolina seat are Likely Democratic. The last change in Cook’s final Senate ratings was Michigan’s open seat, now Lean Democratic.

___

Sabato’s Crystal Ball closed the cycle with Democrats favored to take the House, the Senate, and a majority of governorships, Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman write in their final 2026 ratings.

The count: 239 House seats at least leaning Democratic to 196 Republican, 53 Senate seats to 47, and 28 governorships to 22.

The Florida Governor’s race stays at Leans Republican, but the authors say Govs. Greg Abbott of Texas and Phil Scott of Vermont are Republican spots that look “very shaky based on late polls.” If their ratings end up light for Democrats, they write, it is likeliest in the gubernatorial column.

U.S. Sen. Moody’s seat is rated Likely Republican, up from Safe Republican last week.

The final update moved four Florida House seats, all toward Democrats. Castor’s seat in Florida’s 14th Congressional District and the new CD 22 went from Toss-Up to Leans Democratic. U.S. Rep. Soto’s CD 9 and the open CD 7 went from Likely Republican to Leans Republican.

That leaves three Florida seats at Leans Democratic: Castor, U.S. Rep. Moskowitz in CD 25, and CD 22. Four sit at Leans Republican: U.S. Reps. Luna in CD 13 and Salazar in CD 27, Soto, and the open CD 7. U.S. Rep. Gus Bilirakis in CD 12 and the open CD 16 are Likely Republican. The rest of the delegation is rated Safe for the incumbent party.

CD 9, CD 14, CD 22, and CD 25 are the four seats the new map was drawn to flip. Three now lean Democratic.

___

What I will be watching — Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza are teaming up with Decision Desk HQ to host “The Projection,” a live Election Night broadcast, Axios’ Sara Fischer reports. I’ll be watching.

The show starts streaming at 6 p.m. Nov. 3 on YouTube, X, Substack, DDHQ’s Votes portal, and the Noosphere app. The invitation-only in-person event will take place at a downtown Washington pub. Kalshi and Noosphere are presenting.

Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza bring their own Election Night calls with ‘The Projection’.

DDHQ analysts will make their own race calls and announce them on air as results come in. Viewers will see those calls at the same time as DDHQ’s other media partners.

“On ‘The Projection,’ the data and projections are ours, and we make them first,” DDHQ co-founder Scott Tranter said in a statement.

Todd, Tranter, Cillizza, and Cillizza’s wife, Gia, co-founded Decision Made Productions to cover the 2026 Midterms. They plan to turn “The Projection” into a daily show in early 2027.

— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet, tweet:

—@ByronDonalds: To the folks affected by this historic rainfall and subsequent flooding: 1. Above all else, stay safe. First responders are working hard to locate people in need and state resources are being deployed thanks to Governor @RonDeSantis. Follow @FLSERT for updates. 2. If you live in the following counties, there may have been changes to your voting locations for tomorrow: Brevard, DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Indian River, Martin, Palm Beach, St. Lucie. Please check your local county supervisor websites for information and make a plan to vote.

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet, tweet:

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