Monday, October 19, 2026

Delegation for 10.16.26: Guard shortage — Trump returns — diesel diplomacy — party lines — AI deception


From Florida to Capitol Hill ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
  Guard allotment  

After another powerful hurricane hit the state, members of Florida’s congressional delegation say the need for more National Guardsmen in Florida is clearer than ever.

Sen. Ashley Moody and Rep. Vern Buchanan led a bicameral letter to War Secretary Pete Hegseth urging a full review of the Florida National Guard’s authorized force structure and total allocation of troops, noting the state’s contingent “carries one of the heaviest operational burdens in the nation with one of the smallest per-capita allocations.”

Hurricane Isaias leaves its mark on Pensacola Beach, renewing calls for more National Guard troops. Image via The New York Times.

“In the aftermath of Hurricane Isaias, we saw once again just how critical the Florida National Guard is to keep our communities safe — but while Florida’s population has grown in recent years, the size of our National Guard has not kept pace,” said Moody, a Plant City Republican.

“That’s why I’m leading an effort to increase the number of Guardsmen allocated to our state. Florida’s National Guard is always there when we need them. We need to make sure they have the personnel and resources to continue answering the call.”

An inequitable spread of Guardsmen positions has long been a complaint of Florida officials from both sides of the aisle. About 5,000 members of the Florida National Guard were activated to respond after Hurricane Isaias made landfall in Destin last week, out of a total allotment of around 12,000. An Adjutant General told the Florida Legislature in 2021 that Florida’s population should have 20,000.

Buchanan, the Republican co-chair of the delegation, said a reallotment is overdue, pointing to estimates that put Florida’s per-capita allotment 53rd out of 54 states and territories. That’s despite the state's greater need as a disaster-exposed state.

“Floridians have seen time and time again the importance of our National Guard in stepping up for our families and communities,” said Buchanan, a Longboat Key Republican.

“As an Air National Guard veteran, I have witnessed firsthand how our Guardsmen answer the call every time disaster strikes, but Florida’s Guard has not grown to keep pace with our growing population. They deserve the personnel and resources to match the mission, and I urge the Department of War to give Florida the force structure it needs to continue keeping our communities safe.

Reps. Aaron Bean, Gus Bilirakis, Mario Diaz-Balart, Neal Dunn, Randy Fine, Scott Franklin, Carlos Giménez, Mike Haridopolos, Laurel Lee, Cory Mills, Jimmy Patronis and John Rutherford, all Republicans, also signed onto the letter.

“Florida’s strategic value to the Department of War is unmatched. It plays a critical role in allowing the Joint Force to achieve the administration’s goals set forth in the National Defense Strategy,” the letter reads. “This is especially true when it comes to homeland defense and ensuring American dominance across the Western Hemisphere. As such, Florida’s impact on executing the objectives of the administration’s priorities is both real and tangible.”

Plus, lawmakers said it would not be a challenge to fill positions in Florida given the chance.

“Florida also offers the Department something that cannot be found in many other states: a deep, willing recruiting base and a demonstrated propensity to serve,” the letter states. “State military leadership has publicly stated that Florida draws from a recruitable population larger than that of twenty-eight states and can fill the ranks if given the authorization.”

  Financial recovery  

Patronis, during a briefing in Okaloosa County, spoke to residents who evacuated the region about how to deal with the storm's effects on their property. He said it’s important to start conversations with insurance early, before signing any deals with contractors and potentially unlicensed scammers.

The Fort Walton Beach Republican appeared alongside Sen. Rick Scott in Destin after both had toured damage areas earlier this week. Patronis, a former Florida Chief Financial Officer, represents the area that took the brunt of Hurricane Isaias damage.

Rick Scott surveys Hurricane Isaias damage, where recovery comes with a warning about insurance scams.

“Your insurance carriers have been very good about doing pre-event emails. I got emails from my carrier saying, ‘Hey, a storm has hit.” Can we help you file a claim?’ So, look for those emails,” the Fort Walton Beach Republican said. “They will hold your hand and walk you through the process. My carrier even has a smart app where you can take photos of the damage and upload it, where you're kind of your own adjuster.”

He also reiterated that individuals shouldn’t sign anything, and that doing so could create financial issues on top of the burdens already created by property damage.

“Friends, please err on the side of caution and do not sign anything. I can't state that enough. There is not a single signature ever required to get a single dollar from your insurance company. Do not sign anything. As long as you're doing that, you allow your insurance company to assess the damage, get you your money, and you start the rebuilding process,” Patronis said.

“These predators know that there's poor communication right now. They know that power is down. And you know what? They know you're vulnerable. And it's sad because they're going to come, and they're going to be so courteous and nice. They're going to be carrying gas cans. They're going to have cases of water. They're going to try to get you to drop your guard. Do not take the bait. They're nice people, but they are not truly true to their word. They're just trying to make a living, and they're trying to do it off of your naivety and your own generosity because they feel like, you know, we all need help. But understand, as you'll see, what are called insurance villages that'll pop up in the region.”

  Homecoming  

President Donald Trump will rally voters in his home state ahead of the Midterm elections.

The commander in chief will hold an event in Fort Myers on Oct. 23. A venue will be announced later, and tickets will be available online through the Republican National Committee.

Doors will open for the rally at 10:30 a.m., with programming beginning around 12:30 p.m. Trump is expected to take the stage and address the crowd at 2 p.m.

Donald Trump returns to Florida, hoping to give Republicans a Midterm boost. Image via AP.

Florida, Trump’s official state of residency, has a considerable number of competitive federal elections this year. That includes a Senate race in which Moody faces Democratic challenger Angie Nixon, as well as a nationally watched race for Governor between Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly. The event will be in Donalds’ current Congressional District.

Polls show both races within the margin of error, despite Republicans holding a large voter registration edge. While Southwest Florida is reliably Republican, higher turnout would help the top-of-ticket contests and GOP candidates in three other statewide races.

There are also two open congressional races in the immediate area around Fort Myers. In one, Republican Jim Schwartzel is heavily favored to beat Democrat Victor Arias for Florida’s 19th Congressional District, currently represented by Donalds. Meanwhile, there’s a heated race for the open seat representing Florida’s 22nd Congressional District, Republican Casey Askar or Democrat Pia Dandiya, and both parties are heavily backing their respective nominees.

Besides that, Republicans, emboldened by a new congressional map, have targeted three Democratic House incumbents. Republicans would love Trump’s visit to drive support for challengers Mike Beltran against U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor, Dan Green against Rep. Darren Soto and Scott Singer against Rep. Jared Moskowitz.

But they’d also like the rally to bolster some at-risk incumbents, with House Democrats targeting Reps. Bilirakis, Anna Paulina Luna and María Elvira Salazar, and to help retain open seats in Florida’s 7th and 16th Congressional Districts.

  Democrats mobilizing  

A few days before the presidential visit, Rep. Maxwell Frost will be among the headliners for a Students in Solidarity at the University of Florida in Orlando, where he will share the stage with Nixon, whom he endorsed in a Primary, and with Rep. Ro Khanna of California and state Rep. Anna Eskamani.

The event aims to mobilize young voters around progressive causes and to participate in the Midterms.

“A handful of billionaires and corporate special interests have rigged our economy and our politics. Young people are paying the price, but this generation also has the power to change it,” reads the mobilize page where individuals can RSVP for the event.

Maxwell Frost rallies young voters, bringing progressive politics to the college crowd.

“A Future Without War. Medicare for All of Us. Jobs for Us, Not AI. An Education, Not a Debt Sentence. Our Democracy, Not Their Corruption. This stop is part of a "Students for Solidarity" swing, bringing the fight against the oligarchy to campuses across the country. Come ask your questions, hear from progressive leaders, and join the movement.”

That evening event starts at 7:30 p.m. at the university’s student union.


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Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 10.19.26 — Burnin’ today: Early Voting, Trump, Salazar & Rodriguez, Donalds & Jolly, Uthmeier, AI, Rockwell & Boo Bash



The morning scorecard of what's up (or down) in Florida Politics. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Good Monday morning.

To commemorate the opening of Early Voting across the state this week, the Florida House Republican Campaign Committee honored Norman Rockwell’s 1944 “America at the Polls” with an updated version for Florida’s 2026 General Election.

Norman Rockwell’s 'America at the Polls' gets a Florida election-season encore. Image via Saturday Evening Post.

Norman Rockwell’s 'America at the Polls' gets a Florida election-season encore. Image via Saturday Evening Post.

___

Sunday’s Brunch, our pop-up newsletter about the 2026 Election Cycle and more, posted a 40% open rate, one of the highest for any Florida Politics newsletter this year. Thank you for reading.

Next Sunday’s edition comes out Oct. 25, nine days before Election Day and the first Sunday of early voting. Campaigns, send us your plan for that day: where the candidate will be, what events are on the calendar, and who is out knocking doors.

Consultants, that includes the races you are running for clients.

Email peter@floridapolitics.com by Friday afternoon.

___

The Republican Party of Florida is greeting the start of early voting with a new digital ad that turns David Jolly’s own words about Gov. Ron DeSantis against him.

The spot, “David Jolly Would Undo What Ron DeSantis Built,” is cut from Jolly’s years of cable news commentary: “I don’t think Ron DeSantis is the smartest person in the state,” “a uniquely unlikable person on the campaign trail,” and “Ron DeSantis actually lies about his COVID record.” He also said, “I don’t support Ron DeSantis, and I do think Ron DeSantis’ agenda is dangerous,” and accused the Governor of being “determined to run for the White House to represent white America.”

The party will run the ad statewide to Republican voters, pairing it with a push to vote early.

“Ron DeSantis turned Florida into the free state of America. He stood up to (Dr. Anthony) Fauci, kept Florida open, cut taxes, and fixed our schools and universities, and families from across the country moved here because of it,” RPOF Chair Evan Power said. “David Jolly has spent years attacking every bit of that record on cable news, and now he wants the keys to the Governor’s Mansion so he can undo it. Florida Republicans know what’s at stake. Early voting starts today, and we will turn out to keep Florida free by electing Byron Donalds.”

To watch the ad, please click the image below:

David Jolly’s past criticism of Ron DeSantis becomes ammunition in a new Republican Party of Florida ad.

David Jolly’s past criticism of Ron DeSantis becomes ammunition in a new Republican Party of Florida ad.

  Situational awareness  

—@Pontifex: I would like to thank all those who have prayed for me in recent days. I wish to express my particular gratitude to the doctors, nurses and all the staff of the Gemelli Hospital. This experience has made me feel particularly close to all those who are living with illness or infirmity. Now that I have overcome this delicate phase, I will gradually resume my activities, always with God’s help and your prayers.

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet Bernie Sanders

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet Kingston booke

—@AshleyMoodyFL: My opponent, a socialist, runs a bookstore called Cafe Resistance, quotes the communist manifesto, and celebrates those that attack police. What you see in France, communists taking to the streets, burning buildings to the ground, and attacking the police, starts like this.

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet Jenkins

—@ESPNInsights: Miami will play a game as the No. 1 team for the first time since first time 2003 BCS National Championship Game. 🙌 This is the first time there has been three different No. 1 teams in a three-week span of a single season since Nov. 2012.

  Days until  

'Six Kings Slam' on Netflix — 2; Florida TaxWatch Fiscal Accountability Leadership Summit begins — 2; FEC Pre-General Report due — 3; General Election ballot request deadline — 3; Mandatory General early voting begins — 5; Meta’s new political and issue ad freeze begins — 8; General Election — 15; ‘Godzilla Minus Zero’ premieres — 18; ‘Wild Horse Nine’ premieres — 18; Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 23; 'Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol' starring Johnny Depp premieres — 25; 'Paper Tiger' starring Adam Driver premieres — 25; Joe Biden’s memoir, ‘Promise Me, America’ is released — 29; New legislator training sessions — 29; Senate convenes for general organization and selection of officers — 29; ‘Madden’ premieres — 30; ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ premieres — 32; 'Blade Runner 2099' premieres on Prime Video — 37; ‘The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth,’ with Brad Pitt, directed by David Fincher and written by Quentin Tarantino, premieres in IMAX — 37; Committee Week #1 — 42; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 60; ‘Dune: Part 3,’ directed by Denis Villeneuve, premieres — 60; Committee Week #2 — 77; Committee Week #3 — 84; 'Ahsoka' season 2 premieres — 93; College Football Playoff national championship game in Las Vegas — 98; Committee Week #4 — 105; The 2027 Florida State Fair begins — 108; 'Remain,' directed by M. Night Shyamalan, premieres — 109; Grammys — 111; Committee Week #5 — 112; Super Bowl LXI — 118; Committee Week #6 — 119; Opening day of the 2027 Regular Legislative Session — 134; Tampa Mayoral Election — 134; ‘The Thomas Crown Affair,’ directed by and starring Michael B. Jordan premieres — 137; Jacksonville First Election — 141; Oscars — 146; Miami Marlins Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. New York Mets — 157; Tampa Bay Rays Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. Baltimore Orioles — 157; Democratic Mayors Association 2027 annual summit in Miami begins — 177; Jacksonville General Election — 211; 'Star Wars: Starfighter' premieres — 221; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse’ premieres — 242; Citrus Series — Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins — 270; 'The Bluey Movie' premieres — 291; Citrus Series — Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays — 326; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 424; 2028 South Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary — 460; College Football Playoff national championship game in New Orleans — 462; 2028 Nevada Presidential Primary — 470; 2028 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary — 477; 2028 New Mexico Democratic Presidential Primary — 484; ‘The Batman Part II’ premieres — 487; 2028 Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary — 491; 2028 Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary — 498; Oscars — 503; 'X-Men' premieres — 564; ‘Miami Vice '85’ reboot premieres — 578; ‘Lilo & Stitch 2’ premieres — 585; 'Days of Thunder' sequel with Tom Cruise and Anne Hathaway premieres — 592; ‘Incredibles 3’ premieres — 606; 2028 Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 634; 'Ghost Rider' premieres — 648; 2028 U.S. Presidential Election — 750; ‘Black Panther 3’ directed by Ryan Coogler premieres — 788; College Football Playoff national championship game in Tampa — 826; ‘Avatar 4’ premieres — 1,159; ‘Avatar 5’ premieres — 1,887.

  Top story  

“How Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown gave Florida Democrats a chance” via Daniel Castro of The New Yorker — President Trump’s immigration crackdown is reshaping Miami’s political landscape, creating an opening for Democrats in Florida’s 27th Congressional District. Democratic challenger Eliott Rodriguez, a former television news anchor, is challenging Republican U.S. Rep. María Elvira Salazar in a majority-Hispanic District Trump carried in 2024. Deportations, economic pressures and growing dissatisfaction among Latino voters have complicated Salazar’s re-election campaign.

David Jolly’s past criticism of Ron DeSantis becomes ammunition in a new Republican Party of Florida ad.

Eliott Rodriguez challenges María Elvira Salazar amid shifting attitudes toward immigration enforcement in Miami.

Salazar initially embraced Trump’s immigration agenda, defending detention conditions at Alligator Alcatraz and avoiding criticism of decisions ending Temporary Protected Status for several immigrant communities. More recently, she released an advertisement warning Trump that immigration enforcement had gone too far, acknowledging concerns among Latino supporters.

The shift drew criticism from Trump, who amplified online attacks against Salazar. Rodriguez, meanwhile, reported increased fundraising interest as national political forecasters moved the District into a more competitive category.

Rodriguez is concentrating on independent voters, who account for approximately 30% of District registrations. His campaign emphasizes affordability, immigration enforcement and personal connections developed during decades covering Miami news.

Immigration activist Arianne Betancourt confronted Salazar over her father’s detention at Alligator Alcatraz. Betancourt disputed the assistance Salazar’s office provided, while the Congresswoman’s staff maintained it had offered help and resolved numerous immigration cases.

Despite Democratic enthusiasm, Republicans retain substantial organizational and registration advantages. Latino voters remain divided over immigration, economic policy and cultural issues. The contest illustrates how dissatisfaction with enforcement policies could influence voters without necessarily changing long-standing partisan loyalties.

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19 de octubre Cápsula de oración


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October 19 Prayer Pod

Philippians 4:6 Do not be anxious about anything, but in every situation, by prayer and petition, with thanksgiving, present your requests to God. – NIV

We all want to pray but sometimes we find it difficult to begin our prayer.  Many Pastors and Ministers suggest you begin your prayer by praying back God’s words from Scripture.

These daily prayer PODs are constructed to help you in your prayer life.

October 19 
Pray: Our Father in heaven, hallowed be Your name, Your Kingdom  come, Your will be done, on earth as it is in heaven. Lord hear Your words: Joshua 1:9 Have I not commanded you? Be strong and of good courage; do not be afraid, nor be dismayed, for the Lord your God is with you wherever you go. 

Lord hear my request: (Say your needs, wants, fears, thanksgivings) -  In Jesus name I pray – Amen. 

READ THE NEW TESTAMENT IN A YEAR….
Today’s Reading for: October 19 Hebrews 3:1-19

To learn more about accepting 
Jesus Christ as your Lord and Savior click here:
SALVATION CONNECTION

 

  



 
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Sunday, October 18, 2026

18 de octubre Cápsula de oración




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October 18 Prayer Pod

Philippians 4:6 Do not be anxious about anything, but in every situation, by prayer and petition, with thanksgiving, present your requests to God. – NIV

We all want to pray but sometimes we find it difficult to begin our prayer.  Many Pastors and Ministers suggest you begin your prayer by praying back God’s words from Scripture.

These daily prayer PODs are constructed to help you in your prayer life.

October 18 
Pray: Our Father in heaven, hallowed be Your name, Your Kingdom  come, Your will be done, on earth as it is in heaven. Lord hear Your words: Romans 5:8 But God demonstrates His own love toward us in that while we were still sinners Christ died for us. 

Lord hear my request: (Say your needs, wants, fears, thanksgivings) -  In Jesus name I pray – Amen. 

READ THE NEW TESTAMENT IN A YEAR….
Today’s Reading for: October 18 Hebrews 2:1-18

To learn more about accepting 
Jesus Christ as your Lord and Savior click here:
SALVATION CONNECTION

 

  




 

PLEASE SHARE TO YOUR FAVORITE SOCIAL MEDIA PLATFORM